Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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GA-08 House election: Kelly Esti vote percent (1st Round)
The odds
36.33%median
26%44%
Median 36.33%Middle half 33.8% – 38.94%
How the odds have moved
Median: 35.82% on Oct 19, 36.33% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 28% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 30% | 96% | 92¢ | $1.04 | |||
| At least 32% | 89% | 84¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | ||
| At least 34% | 74% | 69¢ | 78¢ | $1.28 | ||
| At least 36% | 54% | 49¢ | 58¢ | $1.72 | ||
| At least 38% | 33% | 28¢ | 37¢ | $2.70 | ||
| At least 40% | 17% | 12¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | ||
| At least 42% | 7% | 2¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: GA- House, Kelly Esti
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Rep. Austin Scott rallies with Bibb GOP womenRep. Austin Scott in Macon. 8th District Republican Congressman Austin Scott said don't believe everything you hear in the national media about a possible Democrat sweep in next month's general election. Scott spoke to a Republican women's… -
LETTER: DeLancy is most qualified for CongressOconee Enterprise Now that Early Voting has begun in Georgia (10/13 â 10/30), it is critical for voters to consider the qualifications of the candidates running for federal and state offices. Near the top of the ballot, Iâm addressing… -
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Georgia election 2026: Early voting for general election begins TuesdayEarly voting begins on Tuesday in Georgia for the general election. The last day to early vote will be Oct. 30. There are dozens of races set for the general election in November. The key statewide races include Georgia Governor…
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Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
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Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
45.26%median
30%65%
Median 45.26%Middle half 41.89% – 48.21%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions