Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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GA-08 House election: Austin Scott vote percent (1st Round)
The odds
62.81%median
56%74%
Median 62.81%Middle half 60.26% – 65.47%
How the odds have moved
Median: 62.69% on Oct 19, 62.81% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 58% | 91% | 86¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | 22.00 | |
| At least 60% | 78% | 73¢ | 82¢ | $1.22 | ||
| At least 62% | 59% | 54¢ | 63¢ | $1.59 | ||
| At least 64% | 38% | 33¢ | 42¢ | $2.38 | ||
| At least 66% | 21% | 16¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | ||
| At least 68% | 9% | 4¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | ||
| At least 70% | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 | |||
| At least 72% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: GA- House, Austin Scott
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Rep. Austin Scott rallies with Bibb GOP womenRep. Austin Scott in Macon. 8th District Republican Congressman Austin Scott said don't believe everything you hear in the national media about a possible Democrat sweep in next month's general election. Scott spoke to a Republican women's… -
Georgia draws high-profile boosters to the campaign trail as candidates enter the homestretchSeveral big names are hitting the campaign trail in Georgia in hopes of driving up turnout on their side as voters choose their next governor and decide whether to send Democratic U.S. Sen. Jon Ossoff back to Washington. Three GOP… - Major political figures descend on Georgia ahead of critical midterm electionsSeveral big names are hitting the campaign trail in Georgia in hopes of driving up turnout on their side as voters choose their next governor and decide whether to send Democratic U.S. Sen. Jon Ossoff back to Washington. Three GOP…
- Washington Post: Report on US Withdrawal from Afghanistan May Be Released Before ElectionsThe Trump administration is likely to release a report reviewing the withdrawal of US forces from Afghanistan before the US midterm elections, a move that could reignite debate over the end of Afghanistan’s 20-year war. The Washington Post…
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New THC caps threaten 225,800 jobs nationwide, up to $1B in Georgia salesATLANTA - Thousands of Georgia store owners, warehouse employees and farmers face an immediate threat to their livelihoods as a strict federal restriction takes effect Dec. 11. The statutory shift reclassifies nearly all over-the-counter… -
Farmers top concerns in Alabama U.S. House race(The Center Square) - Candidates for the U.S. House in a redrawn Alabama district are divided over agricultural policy and tariffs in a race that has garnered national attention. U.S. Rep. Shomari Figures, D-Ala., and Republican candidate… -
Pres. Trump announces that the execution of Fort Hood gunman will not be live-streamedDailyfly News Pres. Trump announces that the execution of Fort Hood gunman will not be live-streamed WASHINGTON, D.C. – President Donald Trump announced Thursday that the Department of Defense will not broadcast the upcoming capital… -
Why 69% of Americans — Including Most Republicans — Would Rather Not Watch the Hasan ExecutionThat one decision — to livestream or not — is now driving a rare stretch of bipartisan reflection on how far the country is willing to go in making state-sanctioned death a public spectacle. Republican lawmakers and Catholic leaders have… -
President Trump Says Fort Hood Shooter’s Execution Will Not Be LivestreamedUS President Donald Trump announced that the December 3 firing-squad execution of Nidal Malik Hasan, the former Army psychiatrist who killed 13 people and injured 32 at Fort Hood in 2009, will not be televised, reversing plans discussed by… -
GOP revolt brewing after Pete Hegseth blindsided his own inner circle: reportUS Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth speaks during a meeting with Britain's Defence Minister Wes Streeting at the Pentagon, Arlington, Virginia, US, October 15, 2026. REUTERS/Nathan Howard Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth caught his closest… -
Letter to the editor: The Iranian people must choose Iran’s futureAppen Media welcomes your letters to the editor. All letters must be signed and Appen Media reserves the right to edit a letter for length and content. To submit your letter, visit: According to U.S. Census Bureau estimates, there are over… -
Trump calls off firing squad livestreamThe execution of Nidal Malik Hasan, who killed 13 US service members in a 2009 shooting rampage at Fort Hood, will not be public, US President Donald Trump has announced. Days earlier, Secretary of War Pete Hegseth promised it would be…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions