Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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GA-04 House election: James Duffie vote percent (1st Round)
The odds
19.39%median
12%32%
Median 19.39%Middle half 17.5% – 21.4%
How the odds have moved
Median: 18.54% on Oct 19, 19.39% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 14% | 97% | 94¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 16% | 92% | 87¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | ||
| At least 18% | 70% | 65¢ | 74¢ | $1.35 | ||
| At least 20% | 42% | 37¢ | 46¢ | $2.17 | 60.00 | |
| At least 22% | 18% | 14¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 | 10.00 | |
| At least 24% | 6% | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 15.00 | |
| At least 26% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | 5.00 | ||
| At least 28% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| At least 30% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: GA- House, James Duffie
Search ›-
Rep. Austin Scott rallies with Bibb GOP womenRep. Austin Scott in Macon. 8th District Republican Congressman Austin Scott said don't believe everything you hear in the national media about a possible Democrat sweep in next month's general election. Scott spoke to a Republican women's… -
LETTER: DeLancy is most qualified for CongressOconee Enterprise Now that Early Voting has begun in Georgia (10/13 â 10/30), it is critical for voters to consider the qualifications of the candidates running for federal and state offices. Near the top of the ballot, Iâm addressing… -
Which States Have Election Commissions or BoardsInformation on who is appointed to these boards and how is rooted in state statutes. In order to demystify the process, ERN has collected information from each state, which you can find below: Detail: Secretary of State serves as…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions