Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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GA-03 House election: Maura Keller vote percent (1st Round)
The odds
40.05%median
26%50%
Median 40.05%Middle half 37.4% – 42.73%
How the odds have moved
Median: 39.59% on Oct 19, 40.05% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 28% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 30% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 32% | 97% | 94¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 34% | 95% | 91¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 36% | 86% | 81¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | ||
| At least 38% | 71% | 66¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | ||
| At least 40% | 51% | 46¢ | 55¢ | $1.82 | ||
| At least 42% | 31% | 26¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | ||
| At least 44% | 16% | 11¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | ||
| At least 46% | 7% | 2¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | ||
| At least 48% | 5% | 2¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: GA- House, Maura Keller
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Rep. Austin Scott rallies with Bibb GOP womenRep. Austin Scott in Macon. 8th District Republican Congressman Austin Scott said don't believe everything you hear in the national media about a possible Democrat sweep in next month's general election. Scott spoke to a Republican women's… -
Vance visits metro Atlanta to raise money for Georgia Republicans ahead of Trump visitATLANTA — Vice President JD Vance visited metro Atlanta to help raise money for Republican candidates ahead of President Donald Trump’s planned visit to Georgia on Friday. The brief visit included a stop at Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta… -
Only Five Points Separate Maura Keller and Brian Jack in New Congressional PollOnly five percentage points separate Democratic congressional candidate Maura Keller and Republican incumbent Brian Jack in a new poll of likely voters in Georgia’s 3rd Congressional District, a considerably smaller margin than Jack’s… -
Pet of the Week: Praline Is Ready for All the Love and AttentionIt might seem like a neutral, arms-length decision by Ellie White-Stevens to pick this as its "Business of the Week",… DECEPTION ALERT! DECEPTION ALERT! This article is a paid advertisement for Democrat Maura Keller’s campaign, hidden as a… -
Early Voting is Under Way for Nov. 3 ElectionAdvance voting for the Nov. 3 mid-term election began yesterday, Oct. 13, and will continue through Friday, Oct. 30 at Thomaston-Upson Civic Center, according to local election officials. Upson elections include Brian “Bud” Johnston… -
LETTER: DeLancy is most qualified for CongressOconee Enterprise Now that Early Voting has begun in Georgia (10/13 â 10/30), it is critical for voters to consider the qualifications of the candidates running for federal and state offices. Near the top of the ballot, Iâm addressing… -
Which States Have Election Commissions or BoardsInformation on who is appointed to these boards and how is rooted in state statutes. In order to demystify the process, ERN has collected information from each state, which you can find below: Detail: Secretary of State serves as… -
Fayetteville Fire Department and QTS Break Ground on New Station 93 on City’s West Side“Today, as we celebrate the Fayetteville Fire Department Station 93 groundbreaking, we also celebrate our community partnership with QTS and its investment in this important public safety infrastructure,” said Fayetteville Mayor Ed… -
Georgia election 2026: Early voting begins Tuesday for general electionATLANTA — Early voting begins on Tuesday for primaries in Georgia. The last day to early vote will be Oct. 30. There are dozens of races set for the general election in November. The key statewide races include Georgia Governor, Lieutenant… -
Georgia election 2026: Early voting for general election begins TuesdayEarly voting begins on Tuesday in Georgia for the general election. The last day to early vote will be Oct. 30. There are dozens of races set for the general election in November. The key statewide races include Georgia Governor…
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Median 44.81%Middle half 41.38% – 48.24%
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10.65%median
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Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
13.88%median
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Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
45.43%median
30%65%
Median 45.43%Middle half 41.97% – 48.29%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions