Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
27.83%median
14%34%
Median 27.83%Middle half 25.59% – 30.33%
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GA-02 House election: Matt Day vote percent (1st Round)
The odds
39.15%median
32%52%
Median 39.15%Middle half 36.5% – 41.83%
How the odds have moved
Median: 39.15% on Oct 24, 39.15% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 34% | 92% | 87¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | ||
| At least 36% | 80% | 75¢ | 84¢ | $1.19 | ||
| At least 38% | 62% | 57¢ | 66¢ | $1.52 | ||
| At least 40% | 42% | 37¢ | 46¢ | $2.17 | ||
| At least 42% | 24% | 19¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | ||
| At least 44% | 12% | 7¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | ||
| At least 46% | 5% | 9¢ | $11.11 | |||
| At least 48% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| At least 50% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: GA- House, Matt Day
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Rep. Austin Scott rallies with Bibb GOP womenRep. Austin Scott in Macon. 8th District Republican Congressman Austin Scott said don't believe everything you hear in the national media about a possible Democrat sweep in next month's general election. Scott spoke to a Republican women's… - Which GA legislative candidates are big power and big tech betting on in 2026 election?More than 350 Georgians are running in the 2026 election to represent 11.3 million residents at the state capitol as a lawmaker, writing, amending and voting on bills that become law to make a more prosperous state on behalf of their…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions