Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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GA-01 House election: Amanda Hollowell vote percent (1st Round)
The odds
44.25%median
34%54%
Median 44.25%Middle half 41.53% – 47%
How the odds have moved
Median: 43.77% on Oct 19, 44.25% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 36% | 97% | 94¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 38% | 95% | 91¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 40% | 87% | 82¢ | 91¢ | $1.10 | ||
| At least 42% | 72% | 67¢ | 76¢ | $1.32 | ||
| At least 44% | 53% | 48¢ | 57¢ | $1.75 | ||
| At least 46% | 33% | 28¢ | 37¢ | $2.70 | ||
| At least 48% | 18% | 13¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 | ||
| At least 50% | 8% | 3¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 3.0K | |
| At least 52% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: GA- House, Amanda Hollowell
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Georgia leaders react after officer fired for sharing Flock access with ICE agent husbandSAVANNAH, Ga. — Georgia leaders are weighing in on concerns over surveillance technology and privacy after a former Savannah police officer was fired for sharing her department-issued Flock camera system credentials with her husband, a… -
Rep. Austin Scott rallies with Bibb GOP womenRep. Austin Scott in Macon. 8th District Republican Congressman Austin Scott said don't believe everything you hear in the national media about a possible Democrat sweep in next month's general election. Scott spoke to a Republican women's… -
Funding disparity grows in Senate, Coastal Georgia congressional contestsWhether it’s the race between Jim Kington and Amanda Hollowell to succeed Buddy Carter as Coastal Georgia’s congressman or the contest for Georgia’s U.S. Senate seat, the amount of campaign spending is eye-watering and the disparity… -
LETTER: DeLancy is most qualified for CongressOconee Enterprise Now that Early Voting has begun in Georgia (10/13 â 10/30), it is critical for voters to consider the qualifications of the candidates running for federal and state offices. Near the top of the ballot, Iâm addressing… -
Which States Have Election Commissions or BoardsInformation on who is appointed to these boards and how is rooted in state statutes. In order to demystify the process, ERN has collected information from each state, which you can find below: Detail: Secretary of State serves as… -
THIS WEEK: “Sick of It! Fix Health Care Now” Bus Tour Rolls On With Stops in Virginia, North Carolina, Georgia, OhioReps. Marcy Kaptur (D-OH-09), Sanford Bishop (D-GA-02), Bobby Scott (D-VA-03), Greg Landsman (D-OH-01), Jennifer McClellan (D-VA-04), Suhas Subramanyam (D-VA-10) Will Headline “Sick of It! Fix Health Care Now” Events in Four States Watch…
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15.79%median
8%28%
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10.5%median
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Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
13.67%median
7%40%
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Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
45.26%median
30%65%
Median 45.26%Middle half 41.89% – 48.21%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions