Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
27.83%median
14%34%
Median 27.83%Middle half 25.59% – 30.33%
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FL-25 House election: Scott Singer vote percent
The odds
47.19%median
38%58%
Median 47.19%Middle half 45.24% – 49.26%
How the odds have moved
Median: 47.06% on Oct 19, 47.19% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 40% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 42% | 97% | ▲ 1 | 93¢ | $1.04 | ||
| At least 44% | 88% | ▲ 2 | 83¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | 33.00 |
| At least 46% | 67% | ▲ 3 | 62¢ | 72¢ | $1.39 | 131 |
| At least 48% | 39% | ▲ 1 | 34¢ | 43¢ | $2.33 | |
| At least 50% | 17% | ▲ 1 | 14¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | 2.7K |
| At least 52% | 4% | ▼ 1 | 8¢ | $12.50 | ||
| At least 54% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| At least 56% | 2% | 4¢ | $25.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: FL- House, Scott Singer
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Ben Shapiro Endorses Scott Singer for CongressConservative commentator Ben Shapiro has endorsed Republican Scott Singer in his congressional bid for Florida's 25th District (FL CD 25) against incumbent Democrat Rep. Jared Moskowitz. "We need people in Washington who know how to govern… -
Ben Shapiro endorses Scott Singer, takes aim at Jared Moskowitz in CD 25Conservative commentator Ben Shapiro is backing former Boca Raton Mayor Scott Singer’s bid for Congress. The nod adds another nationally recognized conservative to his list of supporters as he challenges Democratic U.S. Rep. Jared… -
Scott Singer and Jared Moskowitz spar over attack ads at Boca Raton forum in Florida's 25th District raceOctober 20, 2026 / 11:35 PM EDT / CBS Miami Republican Scott Singer and Democratic Rep. Jared Moskowitz traded barbs over campaign ads at a forum in Boca Raton for Florida's 25th Congressional District race, where some voters said they… -
Last Squeeze🍊— 10.22.2026 — Florida GOP Drops Lawsuit Over Hope Florida Ad — Ben Shapiro Endorses Scott Singer — and Much More...Ron DeSantis: "Vote Yes on 3! The passage of Amendment 3 will be the largest property tax relief in a generation." Kathy Castor: "We have the momentum—but it's not over. The fight continues. We’re less than two weeks away from election… -
POLL: Scott Singer leads Jared Moskowitz by 7 points in FL-25Published Oct. 22, 2026, 11:06 a.m. ET | Updated Oct. 22, 2026 BOCA RATON, Fla. — A new internal poll shows Republican Scott Singer leading Democratic U.S. Rep. Jared Moskowitz by 7 percentage points among likely voters in Florida’s 25th… -
FL House & GOP Pulling FundingFOX 9 Minneapolis-St. Paul A look at Florida's congressional races and top GOP groups pulling funding from first-term incumbents. -
Key takeaways from congressional forum between Republican Scott Singer and Democrat Jared MoskowitzIn what is among the nation's most closely watched midterm election matchups, Democrat incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz and Republican Scott Singer faced off Tuesday night in Boca Raton at Congregation B'nai Israel for a high-stakes… -
Moskowitz, Singer Face Controversies in Costly Florida Congressional RaceVINnews AVENTURA (VINnews) — The contest between Democratic U.S. Rep. Jared Moskowitz and Republican challenger and former Boca Raton Mayor Scott Singer for Florida’s newly drawn 25th Congressional District has turned into one of the… -
Is Moskowitz-Singer congressional race still a toss-up — or is it slipping away from Republicans?It was a jolt of bad news at the worst possible moment for Republican congressional candidate Scott Singer, just over an hour before a high-stakes debate with his opponent, Democratic U.S. Rep. Jared Moskowitz. Word came out that the big… -
Trump Political Org Pours Millions Into Florida District Race After House GOP PAC Slashed FundingPresident Donald Trump’s political operation planned to spend money in a competitive House race Thursday after Republicans slashed funding in the district. The super PAC planned to spend $1 million in Washington’s third district, $85,000… -
Elections Forecaster Shifts 19 More House Races In Democrats’ FavorA major elections forecaster shifted 19 House races in the Democrats’ favor Friday, including Republican-held seats. The nonpartisan Cook Political Report shifted some races from “Lean Republican” to a “Toss Up” and others from “Solid… -
Early US Vote Passes 20 Million BallotsThis story is part of our coverage of the 2026 US midterm elections. Dates, times and how to follow it are in our guide. Latest: US Democrats Lead House Race by 8 Points Our US midterms 2026 dossier tracks the race. The figure is not a…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions