Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.65%median
14%34%
Median 28.65%Middle half 26.29% – 31.08%
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FL-25 House election: Jared Moskowitz vote percent
The odds
52.15%median
42%62%
Median 52.15%Middle half 50.31% – 54%
How the odds have moved
Median: 53.28% on Oct 20, 52.15% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 44% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 46% | 97% | 94¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 48% | 94% | 89¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 605 | |
| At least 50% | 79% | 74¢ | 84¢ | $1.19 | 3.3K | |
| At least 51% | 66% | 61¢ | 71¢ | $1.41 | ||
| At least 52% | 52% | 47¢ | 57¢ | $1.75 | 888 | |
| At least 54% | 25% | ▲ 1 | 21¢ | 29¢ | $3.45 | 336 |
| At least 56% | 8% | 3¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | ||
| At least 58% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| At least 60% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: FL- House, Jared Moskowitz
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Florida Man Arrested for Allegedly Threatening Rep. Jared MoskowitzThe Floridian is a leading conservative political news platform based in Fort Lauderdale, Florida. Published by Diverse New Media Corp and led by award-winning political journalist Javier Manjarres, it provides timely, in-depth coverage of… -
Man arrested near Florida Democrat Jared Moskowitz's home after 'threatening' his lifeRepresentative Jared Moskowitz announced Thursday that a person accused of threatening his life has been arrested near his home in Boca Raton, Florida. The Florida Democrat, who is running in one of the country’s most closely watched… -
Scott Singer and Jared Moskowitz spar over attack ads at Boca Raton forum in Florida's 25th District raceOctober 20, 2026 / 11:35 PM EDT / CBS Miami Republican Scott Singer and Democratic Rep. Jared Moskowitz traded barbs over campaign ads at a forum in Boca Raton for Florida's 25th Congressional District race, where some voters said they… -
Ben Shapiro endorses Scott Singer, takes aim at Jared Moskowitz in CD 25Conservative commentator Ben Shapiro is backing former Boca Raton Mayor Scott Singer’s bid for Congress. The nod adds another nationally recognized conservative to his list of supporters as he challenges Democratic U.S. Rep. Jared… -
POLL: Scott Singer leads Jared Moskowitz by 7 points in FL-25Published Oct. 22, 2026, 11:06 a.m. ET | Updated Oct. 22, 2026 BOCA RATON, Fla. — A new internal poll shows Republican Scott Singer leading Democratic U.S. Rep. Jared Moskowitz by 7 percentage points among likely voters in Florida’s 25th… -
Key takeaways from congressional forum between Republican Scott Singer and Democrat Jared MoskowitzIn what is among the nation's most closely watched midterm election matchups, Democrat incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz and Republican Scott Singer faced off Tuesday night in Boca Raton at Congregation B'nai Israel for a high-stakes… - Democrats answer GOP internal with a poll showing Jared Moskowitz up 47% to 42% in CD 25Jared Moskowitz leads Scott Singer 47% to 42% in a new House Majority PAC survey of Florida’s 25th Congressional District, released one day after Singer’s campaign circulated an internal that had the Republican ahead by 7 points. House…
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FL House & GOP Pulling FundingFOX 9 Minneapolis-St. Paul A look at Florida's congressional races and top GOP groups pulling funding from first-term incumbents. -
House GOP leadership super PAC pulls ad spending against Jared MoskowitzThe Congressional Leadership Fund scrapped a planned $6 million campaign against the pro-Israel Democrat days after Cook shifted the redrawn South Florida district to ‘lean Democratic’ Nathan Posner/Anadolu via Getty Images Rep. Jared… -
President Trump stops by Fort Myers to rally for GOP candidates Ashley Moody and Byron DonaldsCBS News Miami is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WFOR-TV and channel 4, CBS News Miami offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. President Trump stops by… -
Florida proposal would impose overnight social media ban, time limits for teensFlorida Attorney General James Uthmeier announced the Safe Screens Act, which would block teens from accessing social media between 11 p.m. and 7 a.m., limit daily usage and ban known predators from social media platforms. Florida proposal… -
Conservative Leadership Fund kills $6M in ads in Jared Moskowitz’s districtJared Moskowitz has no problem crossing the aisle for an important cause.It looks like House Republicans may focus spending on targets besides U.S. Rep. Jared Moskowitz. The Conservative Leadership Fund, a super PAC associated with Speaker Mike Johnson and House Republican leadership, just canceled a major ad…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions