Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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FL-22 House election: Casey Askar vote percent
The odds
48.75%median
42%62%
Median 48.75%Middle half 46.88% – 50.57%
How the odds have moved
Median: 48.92% on Oct 21, 48.75% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 44% | 96% | 92¢ | $1.04 | |||
| At least 46% | 86% | ▲ 1 | 81¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | |
| At least 48% | 62% | ▲ 1 | 57¢ | 66¢ | $1.52 | 3.00 |
| At least 50% | 31% | ▲ 1 | 27¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | 2.8K |
| At least 52% | 10% | 6¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 971 | |
| At least 54% | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 | 5.00 | ||
| At least 56% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 5.00 | ||
| At least 58% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| At least 60% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: FL- House, Casey Askar
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Florida District 22 race heats up as Casey Askar and Pia Dandiya trade sharp attacksRepublican Casey Askar and Democrat Pia Dandiya are competing for Florida’s newly redrawn District 22 seat and highlighting their differing priorities. The race for Florida’s 22nd Congressional District seat is intensifying as Republican… -
FL House & GOP Pulling FundingFOX 9 Minneapolis-St. Paul A look at Florida's congressional races and top GOP groups pulling funding from first-term incumbents. -
In full-NIMBY leaked audio, Casey Askar supports data centers only in ‘rural areas’Casey Askar is running for CD 22 almost entirely on his own dime, though he spent only a small portion of the funds he loaned his campaign by the end of the last reporting period. Image via Florida Politics file.Congressional candidate Casey Askar previously said he would keep data centers out of Florida. But at a more recent event, Askar said he still wants the facilities built in the nation, but in rural areas far from where he lives. Florida… -
DeSantis’ congressional map was designed to flip 4 seats to the GOP — Will it?Among the four seats Florida Republicans are supposed to flip from the Democrats this year following their mid-cycle redistricting is Florida’s 22nd Congressional District in South Florida. The Palm Beach County district has been held for… -
Trump Political Org Pours Millions Into Florida District Race After House GOP PAC Slashed FundingPresident Donald Trump’s political operation planned to spend money in a competitive House race Thursday after Republicans slashed funding in the district. The super PAC planned to spend $1 million in Washington’s third district, $85,000… -
Pete Buttigieg to campaign with Pia Dandiya in CD 22Buttigieg, who served as Transportation Secretary under President Joe Biden, will appear with Dandiya in Plantation for a canvassing launch. Dandiya is running in the battleground Florida’s 22nd Congressional District against Republican… -
US midterm elections 2026: Who are the Indian-origin candidates and where are they contesting?The elections will determine which party controls Congress for the final two years of US President Donald Trump’s second term. All 435 seats in the House of Representatives and 35 Senate seats are scheduled to be contested, alongside… -
From Pia Dandiya To Ro Khanna: Meet The Desis Looking To Shape Congress In US Midterm ElectionsThe November 3 US midterm elections will feature six Indian-American Democrats either defending their seats in the House or trying to win new ones. Four sitting members, Ro Khanna, Pramila Jayapal, Ami Bera and Suhas Subramanyam, are… -
Indian-American Pia Dandiya gets Buttigieg boost in Florida toss-up raceWashington: Former US Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg will campaign on Monday with Indian-American Democrat Pia Dandiya in Florida’s 22nd congressional district, one of the state’s most closely watched House races, Florida Politics… -
Wellington mayor crosses party lines to endorse Democrat Pia Dandiya for CongressPresident Trump delivers remarks at a midterm rally in Pendleton, South Carolina. WELLINGTON, Fla. (CBS12) — Wellington's Republican mayor is crossing party lines to endorse Democrat Pia Dandiya in her bid for Congress, saying she would… -
Pia Dandiya's Education Platform Mired by Socialism & DEI- Scrubs Her Past From Campaign Website!With the 2026 midterm elections less than two weeks away, attacks on both Democratic and Republican congressional candidates in Florida's 22nd District continue to escalate. Pia Dandiya, along with the help of the House Majority PAC, has… -
HMP Launches New Ads in Arizona, California, Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, North Carolina, New Mexico, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas, South Carolina, Virginia, Washington, and WisconsinWashington, D.C. – House Majority PAC is launching new television ads across 25 districts in Arizona, California, Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, North Carolina, New Mexico, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas, South Carolina…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions