Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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FL-21 House election: Brian Mast vote percent
The odds
53.95%median
48%68%
Median 53.95%Middle half 51.53% – 56.44%
How the odds have moved
Median: 55.27% on Oct 20, 53.95% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 50% | 87% | 83¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | 2.5K | |
| At least 52% | 72% | 67¢ | 76¢ | $1.32 | ||
| At least 54% | 50% | 45¢ | 54¢ | $1.85 | ||
| At least 56% | 28% | 24¢ | 33¢ | $3.03 | ||
| At least 58% | 13% | 8¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | ||
| At least 60% | 4% | 8¢ | $12.50 | 1.0K | ||
| At least 62% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 200 | ||
| At least 64% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| At least 66% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: FL- House, Brian Mast
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Even with favorable environment, James Martin faces uphill battle in bid to unseat Brian MastThe race for Florida’s 21st Congressional District features a first-time candidate challenging a 10-year incumbent with a large financial advantage. Democrat James Martin is taking on Republican U.S. Rep. Brian Mast, who earned nearly 62%… -
FL House & GOP Pulling FundingFOX 9 Minneapolis-St. Paul A look at Florida's congressional races and top GOP groups pulling funding from first-term incumbents. - Florida election poll shows GOP Rep. Brian Mast tied with James MartinA new poll shows Democratic challenger James Martin in a statistical tie with incumbent Republican U.S. Rep. Brian Mast ahead of the Nov. 3 election. The poll by the progressive-leaning firm Upswing Research & Strategy initially found Mast…
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Bipartisan U.S. congressional delegation meets with Dalai Lama to reaffirm enduring supportNew representatives to Dalai Lama’s Bureaus in Australia and Taiwan appointed Bipartisan U.S. congressional delegation meets with Dalai Lama to reaffirm enduring support Beijing forcibly shutters three Tibetan schools in Golog amid… - Donald Trump rallies Fort Myers for Byron Donalds, Ashley Moody, floats Marco Rubio mission to CubaPresident Donald Trump says once conflict in Iran settles, he may immediately send Marco Rubio to the island of Cuba. “We’re going to come back from Iran. Those beautiful ships. We’ll pass Cuba. We’ll have one of them stop about 50 yards…
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DeSantis’ congressional map was designed to flip 4 seats to the GOP — Will it?Among the four seats Florida Republicans are supposed to flip from the Democrats this year following their mid-cycle redistricting is Florida’s 22nd Congressional District in South Florida. The Palm Beach County district has been held for… - Mast Faces 2 Challengers In The General Election For His Congressional District 21 Seat | 1290 WJNOWe're highlighting the race for Congressional District 21 in the Election Spotlight this morning. Republican Brian Mast has been in the U.S. House since 2016 and is seeking a sixth term. He's facing two challengers, Democrat James Martin…
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Florida gubernatorial candidate Byron Donalds makes campaign stop in Fort PierceFlorida gubernatorial candidate and Congressman Byron Donalds making a stop on the Treasure Coast during his statewide bus tour. Donalds is trying to meet as many voters as possible in this final stretch ahead of election day. “I think for… -
Only Congress Can Defend Our Right to Private ConversationImagine you’re walking through a quiet park with your best friend. You lower your voices and speak privately about something very personal and sensitive. You need no government permission to have this conversation. You do not expect an… -
Strange scoring in WPBGreetings, Stetters! For you today, eight things that raise questions about West Palm Beach’s new shuttle deal; four wins in quantum computing; five improvements planned at the Port of Palm Beach; two challengers for U.S. Rep. Brian Mast… -
2026 midterms: Mast vs. Martin vs. Cooke for U.S. HouseJames Martin, who worked for former Vice President Kamala Harris, and Alex Cooke, an investment adviser, are challenging U.S. Rep. Brian Mast in a district covering northern Palm Beach County. Two candidates are vying to unseat Republican… -
ABC Florida East Coast Announces 2026 General Election EndorsementsABC-FEC endorses candidates across Brevard, Indian River, Martin, St. Lucie, Palm Beach, Broward, and Miami-Dade counties COCONUT CREEK, Fla. — Associated Builders and Contractors Florida East Coast (ABC-FEC) has announced its endorsements…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions