Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.65%median
14%34%
Median 28.65%Middle half 26.29% – 31.08%
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FL-19 House election: Victor Arias vote percent
The odds
40%median
28%48%
Median 40%Middle half 37.25% – 42.73%
How the odds have moved
Median: 39.59% on Oct 19, 40% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 30% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 32% | 97% | 94¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 34% | 94% | 89¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 36% | 85% | 80¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | ||
| At least 38% | 69% | 64¢ | 74¢ | $1.35 | ||
| At least 40% | 50% | 45¢ | 55¢ | $1.82 | ||
| At least 42% | 31% | ▲ 1 | 26¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | |
| At least 44% | 16% | ▲ 1 | 11¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | |
| At least 46% | 7% | 2¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: FL- House, Victor Arias
Search ›-
FL House & GOP Pulling FundingFOX 9 Minneapolis-St. Paul A look at Florida's congressional races and top GOP groups pulling funding from first-term incumbents. -
Early voting for midterm elections 2026 set to start in Collier County, FLElection Day is almost here and has already arrived for some voters. Southwest Floridians are casting votes for their next governor, state attorney general, congress members and state amendments. Early voting starts Thursday, Oct. 22 in… -
Candidates split over AI data centers in Florida's District 19 congressional raceAI data centers have become a divisive issue in Florida's District 19 congressional race, with candidates and residents voicing concerns about their effects on water, energy, and local communities. Recent polls show that AI data centers… -
Candidates clash over who should control data center growth in Southwest FloridaCAPE CORAL, Fla. (WINK) — The Florida Democratic Party hosted a press conference where candidates for state and national seats spoke out against data centers. The meeting was held outside Rep. Byron Donalds' office in Cape Coral as part of… -
Victor Arias for Congress to Appear at Naples Town Hall Oct. 15, 19 Days Before Election DayEIN Presswire Victor Arias for Congress to Appear at Naples Town Hall Oct. 15, 19 Days Before Election Day Victor Arias, Democratic nominee for Florida's 19th Congressional District, highlights hurricane preparedness, senior health costs… -
Trump to headline midterm rally in Fort Myers on Oct. 23Published Oct. 16, 2026, 10:56 a.m. ET | Updated Oct. 16, 2026 FORT MYERS, Fla. — President Donald Trump will return to Southwest Florida next week to headline a midterm rally aimed at boosting Republican turnout in his adopted home state… -
“Sodagate” Shows Republican Desperation and Rat F***King at its worst.Polls and early turnout have made Republicans so desperate they are rolling out vicious and absurd dirty tricks to tar Democrats. We saw that yesterday on the Senate level with the bogus story that James Talarico had checked into an Ohio…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions