Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.65%median
14%34%
Median 28.65%Middle half 26.29% – 31.08%
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FL-19 House election: Jim Schwartzel vote percent
The odds
58.92%median
50%72%
Median 58.92%Middle half 56.12% – 61.71%
How the odds have moved
Median: 59.23% on Oct 19, 58.92% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 52% | 95% | 92¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | ||
| At least 54% | 88% | 83¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | 200 | |
| At least 56% | 76% | 71¢ | 81¢ | $1.23 | 200 | |
| At least 58% | 59% | 54¢ | 64¢ | $1.56 | 1.0K | |
| At least 60% | 40% | ▲ 1 | 35¢ | 44¢ | $2.27 | |
| At least 62% | 23% | ▲ 1 | 18¢ | 27¢ | $3.70 | |
| At least 64% | 11% | 6¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | ||
| At least 66% | 4% | 8¢ | $12.50 | |||
| At least 68% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| At least 70% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: FL- House, Jim Schwartzel
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Jim Schwartzel, R, eyes Congress seat in Florida's 19th DistrictJim Schwartzel, 50, is a Republican running for Florida's 19th Congressional District seat, vying to succeed Byron Donalds in the heavily conservative district. Schwartzel won in the primary against a crowded field of Republicans. He beat… -
FL House & GOP Pulling FundingFOX 9 Minneapolis-St. Paul A look at Florida's congressional races and top GOP groups pulling funding from first-term incumbents. -
President Trump wraps up Fort Myers rally ahead of midterm elections | See the highlightsFORT MYERS, Fla. (WINK) — President Donald Trump wrapped up a campaign rally at Florida Gulf Coast University’s Alico Arena on Friday, appearing alongside Republican gubernatorial candidate Byron Donalds and a lineup of Florida political… - Donald Trump rallies Fort Myers for Byron Donalds, Ashley Moody, floats Marco Rubio mission to CubaPresident Donald Trump says once conflict in Iran settles, he may immediately send Marco Rubio to the island of Cuba. “We’re going to come back from Iran. Those beautiful ships. We’ll pass Cuba. We’ll have one of them stop about 50 yards…
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Trump visit recap: President wraps up Florida rally in a packed arenaPresident Donald Trump has wrapped up his Fort Myers midterm elections rally today, Oct. 23 at Florida Gulf Coast University's Alico Arena and is headed to Mar-a-Lago for the night. Trump came to stump for Florida GOP candidates, including… - Trump heads to Florida, where his support runs deep but economic frustrations persistWith early voting underway across Florida, Trump is headed to a Republican stronghold on the gulf coast to mobilize voters for GOP candidates up and down the ballot. FORT MYERS, Fla. — Mercedes Price Harry drives a 4Runner, and with gas…
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Early voting for midterm elections 2026 set to start in Collier County, FLElection Day is almost here and has already arrived for some voters. Southwest Floridians are casting votes for their next governor, state attorney general, congress members and state amendments. Early voting starts Thursday, Oct. 22 in… -
Candidates split over AI data centers in Florida's District 19 congressional raceAI data centers have become a divisive issue in Florida's District 19 congressional race, with candidates and residents voicing concerns about their effects on water, energy, and local communities. Recent polls show that AI data centers… -
Trump to headline midterm rally in Fort Myers on Oct. 23Published Oct. 16, 2026, 10:56 a.m. ET | Updated Oct. 16, 2026 FORT MYERS, Fla. — President Donald Trump will return to Southwest Florida next week to headline a midterm rally aimed at boosting Republican turnout in his adopted home state… -
“Sodagate” Shows Republican Desperation and Rat F***King at its worst.Polls and early turnout have made Republicans so desperate they are rolling out vicious and absurd dirty tricks to tar Democrats. We saw that yesterday on the Senate level with the bogus story that James Talarico had checked into an Ohio… - Fewest votes wins: plurality victories in 2026 primariesIn some ways, Republican Jim Schwartzel and Democrat Daniel Biss couldn’t be more different. The former is a businessman and staunch Florida conservative, the latter a mathematician and Illinois progressive. More importantly, both won…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions