Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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FL-14 House election: Mike Beltran vote percent
The odds
47.96%median
40%58%
Median 47.96%Middle half 45.82% – 49.96%
How the odds have moved
Median: 47.87% on Oct 21, 47.96% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 42% | 97% | 93¢ | $1.04 | |||
| At least 44% | 91% | 86¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | ||
| At least 46% | 74% | 69¢ | 78¢ | $1.28 | ||
| At least 48% | 50% | 45¢ | 54¢ | $1.85 | 2.7K | |
| At least 50% | 25% | 20¢ | 29¢ | $3.45 | 666 | |
| At least 52% | 9% | 4¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | ||
| At least 54% | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 | |||
| At least 56% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 117 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: FL- House, Mike Beltran
Search ›-
Rep Jim Jordan commends ‘common sense conservative’ running in tight Florida districtGOP congressional candidate Mike Beltran and Rep. Jim Jordan, R-Ohio, discuss Republican momentum in Florida’s 14th district on ‘Fox Report.’ ... Rep Jim Jordan commends ‘common sense conservative’ running in tight Florida district GOP… -
FL House & GOP Pulling FundingFOX 9 Minneapolis-St. Paul A look at Florida's congressional races and top GOP groups pulling funding from first-term incumbents. -
Creative Loafing voting guide 2026: Hillsborough and Pinellas congressional seatsIt was a bit of a surprise to see The Tampa Bay Times recently “recommend” incumbent Republican Gus Bilikrakis over Democrat and former Hillsborough County commissioner Kimberly Oveman. In the write-up, the Times referred to Bilikrakis as… - Ad misleads on claim that Rep. Kathy Castor violated an insider trading lawConservative super PAC TV ads are telling some Florida voters that U.S. Rep. Kathy Castor, D-Fla., repeatedly violated a law aimed at curbing insider trading in Congress. “Over 20 years in Congress, Kathy Castor worked the system…
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GOP candidate's behind-the-scenes gaffe reveals what he thinks of 'not popular' TrumpAn apparent behind-the-scenes note telling staff to avoid mentioning Donald Trump showed up on the campaign site of Minnesota Republican Eric Pratt, the Daily Beast reports. “The President is not popular, so all messaging should be focused… -
Florida Democrat Suddenly Says Men Shouldn’t Play in Girls’ Sports, Her Voting Record Says OtherwiseKathy Castor, the Democrat representing Florida’s 14th District, is trying to appeal to moderates as she faces Republican Mike Beltran in the upcoming midterm election. In both 2023 and 2025, Castor voted against the Protection of Women… -
In a redrawn congressional district, Kathy Castor faces her toughest battleThe Hillsborough district leans strongly Republican, but election experts say the race between her and former state Rep. Mike Beltran is a toss-up. People like Debbie Wasserman Schultz and Kathy Castor. The reconfigured map removed a… -
Kathy Castor, Mike Beltran square off in a rare debate for CongressIn an election season with few debates, there was a spirited one for U.S. House Friday at the Tampa Tiger Bay Club. It's for a close contest for what used to be a safe seat for Tampa Congresswoman Kathy Castor. Castor has served in… -
Kathy Castor and Mike Beltran put each other’s political records on trial at Tampa forumU.S. Rep. Kathy Castor and Republican challenger Mike Beltran traded sharp accusations over corporate influence, campaign contributions and their political records Friday during a combative congressional candidate forum in Ybor City. The… - Kathy Castor raises $2.2M in latest period, crushing Mike Beltran’s $458KU.S. Rep. Kathy Castor raised nearly $2.16 million in the latest reporting period to defend her seat. That’s more than four times what Republican challenger Mike Beltran raised in the same time. Still, thanks largely to a $2 million loan…
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Can Kathy Castor win in a district that favored Trump? Expect a close raceIn the back of a Brandon office park, roughly 30 volunteers spent a Thursday evening hyping up Democratic U.S. Rep. Kathy Castor in phone calls with voters. The Hillsborough incumbent has coasted to reelection for nearly two decades. Then… - Castor, Beltran get testy during congressional candidate forumTampa Bay Times TampaâÂÂs Tiger Bay Club on Friday hosted a forum that was meant to cover all three of Hillsborough CountyâÂÂs newly redrawn congressional seats: Districts 12, 14 and 15 .But the stars of the show were Democratic U.S…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions