Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
27.83%median
14%34%
Median 27.83%Middle half 25.59% – 30.33%
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FL-12 House election: Kimberly Overman vote percent
The odds
44.75%median
34%54%
Median 44.75%Middle half 42.06% – 47.47%
How the odds have moved
Median: 44.32% on Oct 19, 44.75% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 36% | 97% | 94¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 38% | 96% | 91¢ | $1.05 | 212 | ||
| At least 40% | 89% | 84¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | ||
| At least 42% | 76% | 71¢ | 80¢ | $1.25 | ||
| At least 44% | 57% | 53¢ | 62¢ | $1.61 | ||
| At least 46% | 38% | 33¢ | 42¢ | $2.38 | ||
| At least 48% | 21% | 16¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | ||
| At least 50% | 10% | 5¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | ||
| At least 52% | 4% | 8¢ | $12.50 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: FL- House, Kimberly Overman
Search ›-
Kimberly Overman tests GOP’s redistricting gamble in race against Gus BilirakisRepublican U.S. Rep. Gus Bilirakis is seeking an 11th term in Congress against former Democratic Hillsborough County Commissioner Kimberly Overman, who hopes a newly redrawn district will help Democrats challenge the longtime incumbent… -
FL House & GOP Pulling FundingFOX 9 Minneapolis-St. Paul A look at Florida's congressional races and top GOP groups pulling funding from first-term incumbents. -
Creative Loafing voting guide 2026: How to vote in Tampa Bay, and who we’re voting forSome people don’t do politics, choosing instead to let politics do them (and their neighbors). Many don’t have that privilege and that’s why you’re here. The 2026 general election ballot is a doozy that’ll take stamina, but use this voting… -
Kathy Castor, Mike Beltran square off in a rare debate for CongressIn an election season with few debates, there was a spirited one for U.S. House Friday at the Tampa Tiger Bay Club. It's for a close contest for what used to be a safe seat for Tampa Congresswoman Kathy Castor. Castor has served in… - Castor, Beltran get testy during congressional candidate forumTampa Bay Times TampaâÂÂs Tiger Bay Club on Friday hosted a forum that was meant to cover all three of Hillsborough CountyâÂÂs newly redrawn congressional seats: Districts 12, 14 and 15 .But the stars of the show were Democratic U.S…
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District 14 Congressional candidates take part in nonpartisan political forumYBOR, Fla. (WFLA) — Representative Kathy Castor and Mike Beltran took part in a nonpartisan political forum put on by the Tampa Tiger Bay Club. Both are fighting for Florida’s 14th Congressional District seat, which Castor currently holds… -
Palm Beach GOP on Mike Caruso controversy; Darren Soto discusses congressional raceTAMPA, Fla. (WFLA) — Mike Caruso spent a year serving as Palm Beach County Clerk of the Circuit Court and Comptroller for a year. He was appointed by Gov. Ron DeSantis in August 2025 and was suspended a year later. Caruso is facing child… -
“Sodagate” Shows Republican Desperation and Rat F***King at its worst.Polls and early turnout have made Republicans so desperate they are rolling out vicious and absurd dirty tricks to tar Democrats. We saw that yesterday on the Senate level with the bogus story that James Talarico had checked into an Ohio…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions