Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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FL-08 House election: Jennifer Jenkins vote percent
The odds
43.65%median
34%54%
Median 43.65%Middle half 40.94% – 46.5%
How the odds have moved
Median: 42.75% on Oct 19, 43.65% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 36% | 97% | 93¢ | $1.04 | |||
| At least 38% | 94% | 89¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | ||
| At least 40% | 83% | 78¢ | 87¢ | $1.15 | 1.0K | |
| At least 42% | 67% | 62¢ | 71¢ | $1.41 | ||
| At least 44% | 47% | 42¢ | 51¢ | $1.96 | ||
| At least 46% | 28% | 24¢ | 33¢ | $3.03 | ||
| At least 48% | 14% | 10¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | ||
| At least 50% | 5% | 2¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | ||
| At least 52% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: FL- House, Jennifer Jenkins
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FL House & GOP Pulling FundingFOX 9 Minneapolis-St. Paul A look at Florida's congressional races and top GOP groups pulling funding from first-term incumbents. -
Jennifer Jenkins Accuses Mike Haridopolos of Lying to Voters Through Anti-Fraud PledgeJennifer Jenkins, the Democratic challenger for Florida’s 8th Congressional District, scrutinized Congressman Mike Haridopolos (R) for endorsing Vice President (VP) JD Vance’s “Pledge to Protect Americans from Fraud.” The former Brevard… -
‘We appreciate your commitment to public safety’: Orange County firefighters union endorses Mike HaridopolosTwo weeks after endorsing Democrat Darren Soto in Florida’s 9th Congressional District, the Orange County Fire Fighters Association is backing Republican Mike Haridopolos in Florida’s 8th Congressional District. IAFF Local 2057, which… -
Letters: Vote Jenkins over Haridopolos | Orlando declining | Lessons from WatergateThis is in response to your editorial board’s endorsement of Mike Haridopolos for U.S. House. As far as I can tell, Haridopolos has abandoned any individual thought and has abdicated his oath to the Constitution. He is nothing more than a… -
“Sodagate” Shows Republican Desperation and Rat F***King at its worst.Polls and early turnout have made Republicans so desperate they are rolling out vicious and absurd dirty tricks to tar Democrats. We saw that yesterday on the Senate level with the bogus story that James Talarico had checked into an Ohio…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions