Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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FL-05 House election: John Rutherford vote percent
The odds
55.42%median
48%68%
Median 55.42%Middle half 52.65% – 58.23%
How the odds have moved
Median: 55.17% on Oct 19, 55.42% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 50% | 91% | 87¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | 426 | |
| At least 52% | 81% | 76¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | ||
| At least 54% | 64% | 59¢ | 68¢ | $1.47 | ||
| At least 56% | 45% | 40¢ | 49¢ | $2.04 | ||
| At least 58% | 27% | 22¢ | 31¢ | $3.23 | ||
| At least 60% | 14% | 9¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | ||
| At least 62% | 5% | 9¢ | $11.11 | 8.00 | ||
| At least 64% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| At least 66% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: FL- House, John Rutherford
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FL House & GOP Pulling FundingFOX 9 Minneapolis-St. Paul A look at Florida's congressional races and top GOP groups pulling funding from first-term incumbents. -
Sheriff's Office makes move from downtown to Riverside officialFrom one iconic building to another, the Jacksonville Sheriff's Office made its headquarters move to the Florida Blue tower in Riverside official with a ceremonial ribbon cutting Tuesday, Oct. 20. Sheriff T.K. Waters , Mayor Donna Deegan… -
Delegation for 10.16.26: Guard shortage — Trump returns — diesel diplomacy — party lines — AI deceptionAfter another powerful hurricane hit the state, members of Florida’s congressional delegation say the need for more National Guardsmen in Florida is clearer than ever. Sen. Ashley Moody and Rep. Vern Buchanan led a bicameral letter to War… -
Florida National Guard Is Stretched To The Brink — Lawmakers Say It’s Time To GrowSource: Florida National Guard Fourteen members of Florida’s congressional delegation are asking the federal government to increase the size of the Florida National Guard, pointing out that the state has one of the smallest Guard presences… -
Florida Lawmakers Request Florida National Guardsmen Increase in Response to Hurricane IsaiasA coalition of Republican Florida lawmakers led by Sen. Ashley Moody (R-Fla.) is calling on the Pentagon to increase Florida National Guard (FLNG) personnel. “In the aftermath of Hurricane Isaias, we saw once again just how critical the… -
Push Underway To Expand Florida National Guard Following Hurricane Isaias Rescue Missions40 Cut and Toss teams cleared and opened I-10 and U.S. 98 by 6 a.m. (FDOT) Following Hurricane Isaias’s recent landfall in Florida, Sen. Ashley Moody is leading an initiative to expand the total number of personnel assigned to the Florida… -
“Sodagate” Shows Republican Desperation and Rat F***King at its worst.Polls and early turnout have made Republicans so desperate they are rolling out vicious and absurd dirty tricks to tar Democrats. We saw that yesterday on the Senate level with the bogus story that James Talarico had checked into an Ohio…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions