Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
27.54%median
14%34%
Median 27.54%Middle half 25.28% – 29.95%
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FL-04 House election: LaShonda Holloway vote percent
The odds
46.59%median
36%54%
Median 46.59%Middle half 44.15% – 49%
How the odds have moved
Median: 44.84% on Oct 19, 46.59% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 38% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 40% | 97% | ▲ 1 | 93¢ | $1.04 | ||
| At least 42% | 91% | ▲ 2 | 87¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | 404 |
| At least 44% | 77% | ▲ 3 | 72¢ | 81¢ | $1.23 | |
| At least 46% | 56% | ▲ 4 | 52¢ | 61¢ | $1.64 | |
| At least 48% | 35% | ▲ 3 | 30¢ | 39¢ | $2.56 | |
| At least 50% | 16% | ▲ 1 | 12¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | |
| At least 52% | 7% | ▲ 2 | 2¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: FL- House, LaShonda Holloway
Search ›-
FL House & GOP Pulling FundingFOX 9 Minneapolis-St. Paul A look at Florida's congressional races and top GOP groups pulling funding from first-term incumbents. -
“Sodagate” Shows Republican Desperation and Rat F***King at its worst.Polls and early turnout have made Republicans so desperate they are rolling out vicious and absurd dirty tricks to tar Democrats. We saw that yesterday on the Senate level with the bogus story that James Talarico had checked into an Ohio…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions