Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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FL-01 House election: Jimmy Patronis vote percent
The odds
62.98%median
54%74%
Median 62.98%Middle half 60.33% – 65.61%
How the odds have moved
Median: 63.59% on Oct 19, 62.98% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 56% | 95% | 92¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | ||
| At least 58% | 90% | 85¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | ||
| At least 60% | 78% | 73¢ | 83¢ | $1.20 | ||
| At least 62% | 60% | 55¢ | 65¢ | $1.54 | ||
| At least 64% | 40% | ▲ 1 | 35¢ | 44¢ | $2.27 | |
| At least 66% | 22% | ▲ 1 | 17¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | 1.0K |
| At least 68% | 10% | 5¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | ||
| At least 70% | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 | |||
| At least 72% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: FL- House, Jimmy Patronis
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Rep. Jimmy Patronis asks ACC to disclose sports betting policies amid push for college sports billThe Senate is preparing to advance the Protect College Sports Act, legislation aimed at creating federal rules for name, image and likeness compensation in college athletics. Fox News chief congressional correspondent Chad Pergram reports… -
FL House & GOP Pulling FundingFOX 9 Minneapolis-St. Paul A look at Florida's congressional races and top GOP groups pulling funding from first-term incumbents. -
Annette Taddeo takes CFO campaign to Tallahassee, Panhandle for weekend voter outreachFormer state Sen. Annette Taddeo is taking her CFO campaign north. The Democratic nominee announced a weekend itinerary beginning Friday at Florida A&M University in Tallahassee, followed by voter turnout, community and faith-based events… -
Bipartisan U.S. congressional delegation meets with Dalai Lama to reaffirm enduring supportNew representatives to Dalai Lama’s Bureaus in Australia and Taiwan appointed Bipartisan U.S. congressional delegation meets with Dalai Lama to reaffirm enduring support Beijing forcibly shutters three Tibetan schools in Golog amid… -
Florida CFO race heats up as Taddeo accuses Ingoglia of failing taxpayersOctober 18, 2026 / 8:30 AM EDT / CBS Miami The state's Chief Financial Officer isn't a particularly glamorous or high-profile position. The job of the CFO is to ensure state dollars go where they are supposed to go. The CFO is required to… - Press Release: Jimmy Patronis Urges Floridians to Use FEMA and Hurricane Recovery Resources After IsaiasPatronis praises FEMA aid for Hurricane Isaias recovery and highlights tax and disaster assistance resources for affected Floridians. Patronis responds to FEMA announcement: Congressman Jimmy Patronis said FEMA’s disaster assistance…
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Winner and Loser of the Week in Florida politics — Week of 10.11.26Basketball is back, and both of Florida’s NBA teams are walking into a season with real buzz. The season tips off Tuesday, and the Heat open at home Wednesday night against Minnesota. That’s when Giannis Antetokounmpo makes his Miami… -
Rep. Patronis highlights FEMA storm aid, relief resources for FloridiansCongressman Jimmy Patronis (R-Fla.) issued a statement about FEMA's disaster assistance announcement for Floridians affected by Hurricane Isaias. PANAMA CITY, Fla. (WJHG/WECP) - On Friday, Congressman Jimmy Patronis (R-Fla.) issued the… -
Congressman Patronis Applauds FEMA Announcement, Shares Resources for Floridians Impacted by the StormWASHINGTON, D.C. – Today, Congressman Jimmy Patronis (R-FL) issued the following statement regarding the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA)’s disaster assistance announcement for Floridians impacted by Hurricane Isaias. Congressman… - Press Release: Patronis Files House Companion Bill to Limit Gulf Drilling Near Eglin Test RangePatronis filed legislation to restrict new Gulf drilling near Eglin’s military test range, citing readiness and economic concerns. Bill filed in House: Congressman Jimmy Patronis said he filed a House companion bill to legislation…
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Delegation for 10.16.26: Guard shortage — Trump returns — diesel diplomacy — party lines — AI deceptionAfter another powerful hurricane hit the state, members of Florida’s congressional delegation say the need for more National Guardsmen in Florida is clearer than ever. Sen. Ashley Moody and Rep. Vern Buchanan led a bicameral letter to War… -
Florida National Guard Is Stretched To The Brink — Lawmakers Say It’s Time To GrowSource: Florida National Guard Fourteen members of Florida’s congressional delegation are asking the federal government to increase the size of the Florida National Guard, pointing out that the state has one of the smallest Guard presences…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions