Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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CT-04 House election: Jim Himes vote percent
The odds
66%median
58%78%
Median 66%Middle half 63.33% – 68.69%
How the odds have moved
Median: 65.59% on Oct 19, 66% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 60% | 94% | 89¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 62% | 85% | 80¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | ||
| At least 64% | 70% | 65¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | ||
| At least 66% | 50% | 45¢ | 55¢ | $1.82 | ||
| At least 68% | 31% | ▲ 1 | 26¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | |
| At least 70% | 14% | 10¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | ||
| At least 72% | 5% | 9¢ | $11.11 | |||
| At least 74% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| At least 76% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: CT- House, Jim Himes
Search ›- United States • Jim Himes, the US Democrat set to reassert congressional oversight of intelligenceFor Democratic lawmaker Jim Himes, ranking member of the House of Representatives' intelligence committee – the House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence (HPSCI) – the 3 November mid-terms will be a decisive moment. Not for his own…
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Intel chiefs stand by defense of Signal chat at House hearing after new texts emergeUpdated on: March 26, 2025 / 1:56 PM EDT / CBS News Washington — Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard and CIA Director John Ratcliffe defended their participation in a group chat on the encrypted messaging app Signal that… -
Russia steps up election influence efforts in final stretch of midtermsA pedestrian looks at his smartphone on an embankment with the Kremlin in the background in central Moscow on Oct. 8, 2026. Researchers who track online influence operations say Kremlin-backed groups are renewing tactics they've used to… -
Top intel Democrats say they've "war-gamed" how to react if Trump alleges foreign interference in midtermsOctober 23, 2026 / 5:26 PM EDT / CBS News The top Democrats on the House and Senate intelligence committees say they are preparing for the possibility that President Trump makes claims of foreign interference to challenge next month's… -
Russian disinformation campaign targets pro-Ukraine candidates ahead of midterms, lawmakers sayHelp us keep bringing the truth to light, even when Russia turns the lights out. Senator Mark Warner and Representative Jim Himes, two Democrats, told reporters that a recent intelligence briefing revealed Russian efforts to undermine U.S… -
Panicked phone calls fly from Trump’s corporate allies after ‘cardinal sin’Tech and defense companies that spent the last two years cozying up to President Donald Trump are now rushing to court Democrats, as they brace for a wave of congressional investigations if the party wins control of Congress in the… -
Thousands of eerie 'poll watchers' rush into battleground states to monitor votesBy SAMANTHA LOREN, US POLITICAL REPORTER Democrats are rushing thousands of volunteers into battleground states to monitor polling places on Election Day, as both parties prepare for an unusually large monitoring operation. The surge comes… - Russia launched covert influence campaign to undermine US candidates supportive of Ukraine, lawmakers say“It’s a carnival out there,” said House Intelligence Committee ranking member Jim Himes (D-Conn.), referring to Russia's digital election interference efforts. According to House Intelligence Committee ranking member Jim Himes (D-Conn.)…
- For weeks, deepfake celebrities have been telling Americans not to vote for Democrats in the midterm elections. U.S. intelligence says Russia is behind it.Russia has mounted an online campaign to discredit candidates for the U.S. Congress ahead of the November 3 midterm elections, Senator Mark Warner and Representative Jim Himes told Politico. Both are Democrats who sit on their chambers’…
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Himes: Trump Will Claim the Election ‘Is Corrupt in Some Way or Another’Thursday on MS NOW’s “Deadline,” Rep. Jim Himes (D-CT) said President Donald Trump will “claim that the election that is coming up in 12 days is corrupt in some way or another.” Host Nicolle Wallace said, “Congressman, tell me what The… -
Top 2 Democrats on Intel say they're preparing for Trump to claim foreign meddlingThe top Democrats on the House and Senate intelligence committees say they are operating under the presumption that President Trump and his allies will allege fraud related to this year's midterms in order to justify election interference…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions