Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.14%median
14%34%
Median 28.14%Middle half 25.94% – 30.67%
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CT-01 House election: Luke Bronin vote percent
The odds
64.95%median
58%78%
Median 64.95%Middle half 62.47% – 67.5%
How the odds have moved
Median: 64.95% on Oct 24, 64.95% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 60% | 92% | 87¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | ||
| At least 62% | 80% | 75¢ | 84¢ | $1.19 | ||
| At least 64% | 61% | 56¢ | 65¢ | $1.54 | ||
| At least 66% | 39% | 34¢ | 43¢ | $2.33 | ||
| At least 68% | 21% | 16¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | ||
| At least 70% | 8% | 3¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | ||
| At least 72% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| At least 74% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| At least 76% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: CT- House, Luke Bronin
Search ›- Amy Chai Challenges Luke Bronin in CT’s 1st District RaceA North Haven physician is asking voters in Connecticut’s 1st Congressional District to send her to Washington even though she doesn’t currently live among them. Republican Dr. Amy Chai is challenging former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin in…
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LCV Action Fund Announces Latest Endorsements for U.S. House of RepresentativesAction Fund, which works to elect candidates who will fight to lower energy costs, build a clean energy economy, and strengthen our democracy for all, announced endorsements for six candidates running ... LCV Action Fund Announces Latest… - This doctor is challenging Luke Bronin for Congress. She doesn’t live in the districtDr. Amy Chai knows she is facing long odds. Chai is trying to become the first Republican to defeat a Democrat in the 1st Congressional District in Greater Hartford since 1956. “CT-1 is the most difficult district, and that’s actually why…
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Patch Candidate Profile: Philip Tummescheit For 18th House DistrictEditor's Note: Connecticut Patch asked candidates to answer questions about their campaigns and will be publishing candidate profiles as election day draws near. WEST HARTFORD, CT — The 2026 election is heating up in Connecticut, and there… - Candidates present platforms to seniorsCandidates running for state offices, from local state representatives and senators to statewide offices and U.S. House and Senate seats were invited to address seniors at the Bristol Senior Center, Wednesday, Oct. 7. TBE was there to…
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Connecticut is barely in the midterm spending fight. Here's how much is being spent.In September, Elon Musk, the world's richest man, cut checks for $158 million in support of Ken Paxton, the Republican candidate for the U.S. Senate in Texas. A lot for you or me; next to nothing for a man worth more than $900 billion. It… -
Connecticut is spending far less on the midterms than swing statesWhere Connecticut's House races rank. In September, Elon Musk, the world’s richest man, cut checks for $158 million in support of Ken Paxton, the Republican candidate for the U.S. Senate in Texas. A lot for you or me; next to nothing for a… -
Newington 2026 Election Voter Guide: Candidates, Ballot Question, Early Voting DetailsNEWINGTON, CT — On Nov. 3, residents cast their votes for several key federal and state positions, including the office of governor, Congress, state representative, and state senate. For Governor and Lieutenant Governor, the candidates are… - East Hampton/Portland 2026 Election Voter Guide: Candidates, Polling Places, Early Voting DetailsEAST HAMPTON/PORTLAND, CT — On Nov. 3, residents cast their votes for several key federal and state positions, including the office of governor, Congress, state representative, and state senate. For Governor and Lieutenant Governor, the…
- Wethersfield 2026 Election Voter Guide: Candidates, Ballot Question, Early Voting DetailsWETHERSFIELD, CT — On Nov. 3, residents cast their votes for several key federal and state positions, including the office of governor, Congress, state representative, and state senate. For Governor and Lieutenant Governor, the candidates…
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CT Democrats hold wide fundraising lead in congressional racesDemocratic lawmakers from Connecticut maintain a significant fundraising advantage over their Republican challengers just a few weeks before the midterm elections, when the balance of power in Congress is at stake. While the midterms are… -
In races for Congress, CT Dems have money edge over GOP rivalsDemocratic lawmakers from Connecticut maintain a significant fundraising advantage over their Republican challengers just a few weeks before the midterm elections, when the balance of power in Congress is at stake. While the midterms are…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions