Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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CT-01 House election: Amy Chai vote percent
The odds
32.05%median
22%42%
Median 32.05%Middle half 29.59% – 34.6%
How the odds have moved
Median: 31.56% on Oct 19, 32.05% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 24% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 26% | 96% | 92¢ | $1.04 | |||
| At least 28% | 89% | ▲ 1 | 84¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | |
| At least 30% | 72% | ▲ 1 | 67¢ | 76¢ | $1.32 | |
| At least 32% | 51% | ▲ 1 | 46¢ | 55¢ | $1.82 | |
| At least 34% | 30% | ▲ 1 | 25¢ | 34¢ | $2.94 | |
| At least 36% | 14% | 10¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | ||
| At least 38% | 6% | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | ||
| At least 40% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: CT- House, Amy Chai
Search ›- Amy Chai Challenges Luke Bronin in CT’s 1st District RaceA North Haven physician is asking voters in Connecticut’s 1st Congressional District to send her to Washington even though she doesn’t currently live among them. Republican Dr. Amy Chai is challenging former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin in…
- Candidates present platforms to seniorsCandidates running for state offices, from local state representatives and senators to statewide offices and U.S. House and Senate seats were invited to address seniors at the Bristol Senior Center, Wednesday, Oct. 7. TBE was there to…
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After Larson’s loss, CT’s 1st District will elect a new representativeConnecticut’s congressional district centered around Hartford has been represented by U.S. Rep. John Larson since 1999. Nearly three decades later, residents will have a new face representing them in Congress after the congressman’s defeat… -
East Hampton/Portland 2026 Election Voter Guide: Candidates, Polling Places, Early Voting DetailsEAST HAMPTON/PORTLAND, CT — On Nov. 3, residents cast their votes for several key federal and state positions, including the office of governor, Congress, state representative, and state senate. For Governor and Lieutenant Governor, the… - This doctor is challenging Luke Bronin for Congress. She doesn’t live in the districtDr. Amy Chai knows she is facing long odds. Chai is trying to become the first Republican to defeat a Democrat in the 1st Congressional District in Greater Hartford since 1956. “CT-1 is the most difficult district, and that’s actually why…
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1st Congressional District Candidates To Debate In West Hartford, How To WatchWEST HARTFORD, CT — Candidates running to represent Connecticut's 1st Congressional District in the U.S. House of Representatives will participate in a public debate Thursday, Oct. 22, at West Hartford Town Hall. The League of Women Voters… -
Middletown 2026 Election Voter Guide: Candidates, Polling Places, Early Voting DetailsMIDDLETOWN, CT — On Nov. 3, residents cast their votes for several key federal and state positions, including the office of governor, Congress, state representative, and state senate. For Governor and Lieutenant Governor, the candidates… - Manchester 2026 Election Voter Guide: Candidates, Polling Places, Early Voting DetailsMANCHESTER, CT — On Nov. 3, residents cast their votes for several key federal and state positions, including the office of governor, Congress, state representative, and state senate. For Governor and Lieutenant Governor, the candidates…
- Glastonbury 2026 Election Voter Guide: Candidates, Polling Places, Early Voting DetailsGLASTONBURY, CT — On Nov. 3, residents cast their votes for several key federal and state positions, including the office of governor, Congress, state representative, and state senate. For Governor and Lieutenant Governor, the candidates…
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Candidate Profile: Tony Scott, 112th State House DistrictMONROE, CT — State Rep. Tony Scott, a Republican representing Connecticut's 112th House District, is seeking reelection in November. Scott, 50, is facing Democratic challenger Wiley Mullins for the seat representing Monroe and portions of… -
1st U.S. District: Major Change Expected As 4 Seek To Replace Longtime IncumbentHARTFORD, CT — For the first time in nearly three decades, voters in Connecticut's 1st Congressional District will elect someone other than longtime U.S. Rep. John Larson, D-East Hartford, to represent them in Washington. Four candidates… -
Election 2026: Letters of EndorsementNewCanaanite.com recently received the following endorsement letter(s). We will publish them through Oct. 26. At a time when politics too often divides us, we need leaders who know how to bring people together. Joe Kelly is that kind of…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions