Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
27.83%median
14%34%
Median 27.83%Middle half 25.59% – 30.33%
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CO-04 House election: Lauren Boebert vote percent
The odds
50.2%median
40%60%
Median 50.2%Middle half 47.53% – 52.81%
How the odds have moved
Median: 50% on Oct 19, 50.2% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 42% | 97% | 94¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 44% | 95% | ▲ 1 | 91¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | |
| At least 46% | 87% | ▼ 1 | 82¢ | 91¢ | $1.10 | |
| At least 48% | 72% | ▼ 1 | 67¢ | 76¢ | $1.32 | |
| At least 50% | 52% | ▼ 2 | 48¢ | 56¢ | $1.79 | 872 |
| At least 52% | 32% | ▼ 1 | 27¢ | 36¢ | $2.78 | |
| At least 54% | 16% | ▼ 1 | 11¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | |
| At least 56% | 7% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | |
| At least 58% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: CO- House, Lauren Boebert
Search ›- Press Release: Lauren Boebert Welcomes USDA Drought Disaster Designation for Colorado CountiesBoebert highlights drought designation: Rep. Lauren Boebert said the U.S. Department of Agriculture has issued a “Secretarial disaster designation” for drought conditions affecting Colorado counties, making some farm operators eligible for…
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How to build a police stateTo understand where Trump is trying to take the US, we should look to the authoritarian playbook of his favorite ally: El Salvador’s Nayib Bukele One afternoon last year, Donald Trump welcomed “a friend” to the White House – El Salvador’s… -
Colorado among six states that will have federal election monitorsOctober 22, 2026 / 10:19 PM MDT / CBS Colorado Colorado is one of six states that will have federal election monitors observing and taking notes on Election Day. The Department of Justice's Civil Rights Division will be sending monitors to… -
Dengue cases in Florida continued to climb after emergency declaredAbout a month after three Florida counties declared states of emergency over what officials described as a “wildly unusual” dengue outbreak, infections of the mosquito-borne disease have continued to climb. Since September, Florida’s total… -
Democrats poised for significant House gains, Cook Political Report estimatesThe nonpartisan Cook Political Report projects Democrats will most likely flip between 12 and 22 seats in November — potentially giving them bigger majorities than the ones they won during blue waves in the 2006 and 2018 midterms. On… -
DOJ feds to observe Adams, Douglas County elections; ICE activity in Denver; Nederland residents want to scrap Eldora deal9:00 pm - 11:00 pm 11:00 pm - 12:00 am 12:00 am - 3:00 am DOJ feds to observe Adams, Douglas County elections; ICE activity in Denver; Nederland residents want to scrap Eldora deal KGNU News The U.S. Department of Justice plans to send… -
Republicans Face Pressure Over Epstein, Iran and TrumpAccording to Al Jazeera, Republicans heading into November’s US midterm elections are confronting political pressure over President Donald Trump’s approach According to Al Jazeera, Republicans heading into November’s US midterm elections… - REP. BOEBERT APPLAUDS $8 BILLION HARVEST FUEL RELIEF PROGRAM TO SUPPORT COLORADO FARMERS AND FAMILIESLone Tree, CO — U.S. Representative Lauren Boebert (R-CO) today welcomed the Trump Administration’s announcement of the $8 billion Harvest Fuel Relief (HFR) Program, which will deliver one-time payments to American farmers facing higher…
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Colorado GOP Rep. Lauren Boebert joins LiveNOWLiveNOW from FOX Colorado Republican Rep. Lauren Boebert joins LiveNOW from FOX to discuss the upcoming midterm elections. -
Election forecaster shifts 2 Colorado House seats toward DemocratsA leading national election forecaster moved the Colorado U.S. House seats held by Republican U.S. Reps. Gabe Evans and Lauren Boebert toward Democrats Tuesday, amid growing signs that control of the chamber is poised to flip in next… - REP. BOEBERT WELCOMES USDA DROUGHT DISASTER DESIGNATION FOR BACA AND LINCOLN COUNTIESLone Tree, CO — U.S. Representative Lauren Boebert (R-CO) highlighted a U.S. Department of Agriculture Secretarial disaster designation for drought that makes farm operators in affected Colorado counties eligible for Farm Service Agency…
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Musk, pro-Trump group and super PACs flood Colorado's 8th District raceThis story was first published at Colorado Newsline. DENVER | All four of Colorado’s Republican congressional incumbents are receiving help from deep-pocketed super PACs in the run-up to the Nov. 3 midterm election — but one race in…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions