Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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CO-04 House election: Eileen Laubacher vote percent
The odds
45.95%median
36%58%
Median 45.95%Middle half 43.4% – 48.55%
How the odds have moved
Median: 46.13% on Oct 19, 45.95% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 38% | 97% | 94¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 40% | 95% | ▲ 1 | 90¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | |
| At least 42% | 86% | ▲ 2 | 81¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | 800 |
| At least 44% | 71% | ▲ 3 | 66¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | 200 |
| At least 46% | 50% | ▲ 3 | 45¢ | 54¢ | $1.85 | 11.00 |
| At least 48% | 29% | ▲ 1 | 24¢ | 34¢ | $2.94 | 310 |
| At least 50% | 14% | ▲ 1 | 10¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | 45.00 |
| At least 52% | 7% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | |
| At least 54% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| At least 56% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: CO- House, Eileen Laubacher
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Colorado among six states that will have federal election monitorsOctober 22, 2026 / 10:19 PM MDT / CBS Colorado Colorado is one of six states that will have federal election monitors observing and taking notes on Election Day. The Department of Justice's Civil Rights Division will be sending monitors to… -
DOJ feds to observe Adams, Douglas County elections; ICE activity in Denver; Nederland residents want to scrap Eldora deal9:00 pm - 11:00 pm 11:00 pm - 12:00 am 12:00 am - 3:00 am DOJ feds to observe Adams, Douglas County elections; ICE activity in Denver; Nederland residents want to scrap Eldora deal KGNU News The U.S. Department of Justice plans to send… -
Election forecaster shifts 2 Colorado House seats toward DemocratsA leading national election forecaster moved the Colorado U.S. House seats held by Republican U.S. Reps. Gabe Evans and Lauren Boebert toward Democrats Tuesday, amid growing signs that control of the chamber is poised to flip in next… -
Musk, pro-Trump group and super PACs flood Colorado's 8th District raceThis story was first published at Colorado Newsline. DENVER | All four of Colorado’s Republican congressional incumbents are receiving help from deep-pocketed super PACs in the run-up to the Nov. 3 midterm election — but one race in… - Millions from Musk, pro-Trump group and party super PACs flood Colorado’s 8th District raceAll four of Colorado’s Republican congressional incumbents are receiving help from deep-pocketed super PACs in the run-up to the November 3 midterm election — but one race in particular is drawing double the amount of outside spending as…
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Democrats raise big cash in key Colorado races to unseat GOP incumbents, as outside money also floods inThe Democratic challengers in Colorado’s two most competitive congressional races have run fundraising circles around the Republican incumbents, new campaign finance reports show, but outside spending makes up the gap. In the 8th… -
Manny Rutinel smashes Colorado House race fundraising record in 8th CDDemocratic congressional candidate Manny Rutinel raised more than $4.2 million in the most recent quarter in his bid to unseat Republican U.S. Rep. Gabe Evans in Colorado’s most competitive U.S. House race, hauling in more than twice as… -
‘If Mike Johnson is a friend of yours, you deserve to lose’: Lauren Boebert’s endorsement post draws sharp pushback on X ahead of Colorado raceThe video shows House Speaker Mike Johnson standing in front of an American flag and speaking directly to the camera. In the clip, Johnson calls Lauren Boebert “my dear friend” and “a very effective member of Congress,” saying, “We have to… -
Morning Digest: A toxic GOP nominee for governor has Democrats eyeing Boebert for defeatColorado Democrats have a chance to run the table this year as Republicans head into the midterms dragged down by a toxic nominee for governor whose own party is abandoning him. That nominee is Victor Marx, a Christian ministry founder… -
Rep. Crow hits $3 million cash mark for fifth CD 6 term while avoiding corporate PAC fundsCrow and his campaign staff tout the fundraising effort as notable because the fourth-term congressman does not take corporate political action committee funds, the only Colorado member of Congress making the claim. Oct. 15 is the Federal… -
Lauren Boebert, Eileen Laubacher appear in lone televised debate ahead of midtermsThis story was first published at Colorado Newsline. DENVER | Democrat Eileen Laubacher said during a debate Monday night that if her party regains control of Congress during the upcoming midterm elections, it should not use that power to… -
Blue Dog PAC Endorses Seven New Battleground CandidatesRep. Adam Gray, Blue Dog PAC Chair, said: “These candidates have flown helicopters and led soldiers, run ranches and family farms, managed city budgets, and found ways to save taxpayers money. They’ve spent their careers making tough…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions