Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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CA-50 House election: Steve Cohen vote percent
The odds
36.22%median
26%44%
Median 36.22%Middle half 33.57% – 39.13%
How the odds have moved
Median: 35.87% on Oct 19, 36.22% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 28% | 97% | 94¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 30% | 95% | 90¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 32% | 86% | 81¢ | 91¢ | $1.10 | ||
| At least 34% | 72% | 67¢ | 77¢ | $1.30 | ||
| At least 36% | 52% | 47¢ | 57¢ | $1.75 | ||
| At least 38% | 34% | ▲ 1 | 29¢ | 38¢ | $2.63 | |
| At least 40% | 19% | ▲ 1 | 14¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | |
| At least 42% | 9% | 4¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: CA- House, Steve Cohen
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Steve Cohen-backed Queens casino delayed as socialists flood little-known board meetingIt’s a high-stakes game of Flushing Hold ’em. An obscure city panel threw a wrench into plans for a new casino at Citi Field when it on Tuesday tabled approval of the facility’s design after angry residents, including members of the… -
End of an Era: After nearly 50 years in office, Congressman Steve Cohen reflects on his career in exit interviewMEMPHIS, Tenn. (WMC) - For the first time in almost half a century, Congressman Steve Cohen is not running for office, as early voting begins in Tennessee. Earlier this year, his 9th District, representing Memphis and Shelby County, was… -
After nearly 50 years in office, Congressman Steve Cohen reflects on his career in exit interviewAction News 5 After nearly 50 years in office, Congressman Steve Cohen reflects on his career in exit interview Monday evening First Alert Forecast from Chief Meteorologist Ron Childers-October 19, 2026 THE BREAKDOWN: Why does tire… -
Letter to the editor: Remove Trump, return to normalSociologists have traditionally divided our society into five socio-economic class levels: upper, upper middle, middle, lower middle and lower. From the 1960s to 1990s the percentage of the population in each class might have been… -
Memphis City Council to revisit data center vote following recent protestsAction News 5 Memphis City Council to revisit data center vote following recent protests Monday evening First Alert Forecast from Chief Meteorologist Ron Childers-October 19, 2026 THE BREAKDOWN: Why does tire pressure go down as the… -
Public Design Commission delays Metropolitan Park casino voteThe Public Design Commission tabled a vote on the design of Metropolitan Park after it said it had concerns about its understanding of the casino’s environmental impact. Rendering via Metropolitan Park The city’s Public Design Commission… -
Judge sides with Pearson in battle over Memphis Council ban(The Center Square) – A U.S. District Court judge said the Memphis City Council's ban on Tennessee congressional candidate Justin Pearson would lead Pearson to "suffer an injury" to his First Amendment rights, clearing the way for Pearson… -
Where did Haley Stevens’ donors go?Mentioned after the main story: Elon Musk, Richard Uihlein, Jeff Yass, Miriam Adelson, Charles Ergen, Dustin Moskovitz and Cari Tuna, Reed Hastings, Rory Gates, Chris Larsen, Steve Pajcic, Sergey Brin, Steve Cohen, Leonard Blavatnik… - Dry and warming up — rain-free stretch holds firm into next weekAction News 5 Dry and warming up — rain-free stretch holds firm into next week Memphis City Council to revisit data center vote following recent protests Monday evening First Alert Forecast from Chief Meteorologist Ron Childers-October 19…
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Monday evening First Alert Forecast from Chief Meteorologist Ron Childers-October 19, 2026Action News 5 Monday evening First Alert Forecast from Chief Meteorologist Ron Childers-October 19, 2026 THE BREAKDOWN: Why does tire pressure go down as the weather gets cooler? Residents frustrated with SpaceXAI trucks despite city… -
Judge concerned by city council meeting bansAction News 5 Judge concerned by city council meeting bans Monday evening First Alert Forecast from Chief Meteorologist Ron Childers-October 19, 2026 THE BREAKDOWN: Why does tire pressure go down as the weather gets cooler? Memphis Parks… -
Cooper-Sutton suspended; city council announces changesAction News 5 Cooper-Sutton suspended; city council announces changes Monday evening First Alert Forecast from Chief Meteorologist Ron Childers-October 19, 2026 THE BREAKDOWN: Why does tire pressure go down as the weather gets cooler?…
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All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
15.86%median
8%28%
Median 15.86%Middle half 14.14% – 18%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
44.55%median
36%56%
Median 44.55%Middle half 41.5% – 47.09%
Alaska Governor election: Treg Taylor vote percent (1st Round)
10.75%median
0%16%
Median 10.75%Middle half 8.41% – 13.61%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
13.88%median
7%40%
Median 13.88%Middle half 10.49% – 17.65%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
45.43%median
30%65%
Median 45.43%Middle half 41.97% – 48.29%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions