Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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CA-42 House election: Robert Garcia vote percent
The odds
64.57%median
54%72%
Median 64.57%Middle half 62% – 67.18%
How the odds have moved
Median: 64% on Oct 19, 64.57% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 56% | 97% | 94¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 58% | 96% | 91¢ | $1.05 | |||
| At least 60% | 89% | 84¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | ||
| At least 62% | 75% | 71¢ | 79¢ | $1.27 | 214 | |
| At least 63% | 67% | 62¢ | 71¢ | $1.41 | ||
| At least 64% | 56% | 52¢ | 60¢ | $1.67 | 13.00 | |
| At least 66% | 35% | 31¢ | 39¢ | $2.56 | 10.00 | |
| At least 68% | 18% | 14¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 | 13.00 | |
| At least 70% | 8% | 3¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: CA- House, Robert Garcia
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“Families Are Being Torn Apart!” Robert Garcia Targets ICE And Dhs With Threat Of House ProbeHouse Oversight Ranking Member Robert Garcia (D-California) has sharply criticized U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) and the Department of Homeland Security (DHS), calling the agencies “completely out of control.” Garcia… -
Retribution Rundown: Dem Robert Garcia Lays Out Party’s ‘Get Trump’ Agenda If They Take the MidtermsDemocrats are already letting their imaginations soar over what they plan to do to President Donald Trump and those around him if they get voted back into power in November. Democrat Robert Garcia of California recently shared his… -
House Democrats Want Answers on StubHub CEO’s Ticket Broker Firm: “Conflict of Interest and Potential Grift”"Eric Baker appears to be using his positions at Andro Capital and StubHub to profit, potentially at the expense of customers, fans, and artists," said Robert Garcia, ranking member of the Committee on Oversight and Government Reform… -
ICE must be abolished, stop terrorizing communities like Long Beach, says Rep. Robert GarciaControversial images on social media show a U.S. citizen being detained on Saturday afternoon by immigration officers in Long Beach while he screamed that they broke his arm. The violent incident led to Congressman Robert Garcia’s making a… - ICE must be abolished and stop terrorizing communities like Long Beach, says Congressman Robert GarciaControversial images on social media show a U.S. citizen being detained on Saturday afternoon by immigration officers in Long Beach while he screamed that they broke his arm. The violent incident led to Congressman Robert Garcia’s making a…
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House Democrats Press StubHub CEO for Answers Over Ticket Resale Fund: ‘Potential Grift’The ranking member of the House Oversight Committee sent a new demand for answers about Eric Baker's firm Andro Capital. Democrats in the U.S. House of Representatives are continuing to probe StubHub CEO Eric Baker about ties between the… -
Elon Musk vows to fight back if Democrats investigate him after midterms: ‘Live by the sword, die by the sword’Elon Musk warned Wednesday that he would fight back against Democrats who are reportedly planning to target him with investigations if they gain control of the House in next month’s midterms. “Live by the sword, die by the sword,” Musk… -
Epstein haunts GOP in midterms as Democrats vow fresh investigationsPresident Donald Trump can’t shake the furor over Jeffrey Epstein. Democrats are preparing to launch congressional investigations into the administration’s handling of files related to the late, disgraced sex offender if they regain power… -
Democrats Thrilled at the Thought of Imprisoning MuskOne announced that “There has been a series of meetings among House Democrats. Do you know what they’re doing? Yes. They’re carving up jurisdictions for who is going to subpoena him to testify before which of them and for what.” Nothing… -
Dem Rep. Garcia: We Will Aggressively Go After Trump Family Pay-to-PlayRepresentative Robert Garcia (D-CA) said Friday on MS NOW’s “The Beat,” Democrats “are going to be aggressive on day one” investigating the Trump family. Garcia said, “We’re going to first and foremost do real investigations. I think step… -
WATCH: Longer Video DEBUNKS Long Beach ICE ‘Victim’ Sob Story as Ricardo Gonzalez is Shown Assaulting AgentThe initial clips that circulated widely captured Gonzalez pinned face-down in a gutter, screaming that his arm was broken and that he was a U.S. citizen. — End Wokeness (@EndWokeness) October 22, 2026 Those videos, shared by groups such… - House Rep. Garcia Announces Aggressive Investigation of Trump Family and AdministrationRepresentative Robert Garcia of California, a Democrat, appeared on MSNBC's program "The Beat'' on Friday to outline the House's strategy for probing the Trump family's alleged misconduct. During the interview, House minority leader Ari…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions