Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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CA-38 House election: Hilda Solis vote percent
The odds
62.45%median
54%74%
Median 62.45%Middle half 59.54% – 64.94%
How the odds have moved
Median: 62.32% on Oct 19, 62.45% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 56% | 94% | ▲ 1 | 89¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | |
| At least 58% | 85% | ▲ 2 | 80¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | |
| At least 60% | 72% | ▲ 4 | 67¢ | 77¢ | $1.30 | 200 |
| At least 62% | 55% | ▲ 7 | 50¢ | 60¢ | $1.67 | 600 |
| At least 64% | 33% | ▲ 4 | 28¢ | 38¢ | $2.63 | |
| At least 66% | 16% | ▲ 2 | 11¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | |
| At least 68% | 7% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | |
| At least 70% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| At least 72% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: CA- House, Hilda Solis
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Election 2026: In Monterey Park, 2 candidates vie for a seat in aftermath of trailblazing data center banComing off the heels of a city-wide data center ban and recent Flock camera concerns, incumbent Councilmember Vinh Ngo and challenger Steven Kung are on Monterey Park’s ballot this November. With 88% of voters approving historic Measure… -
Leaders provide perspectives on endorsementsThe two candidates for Los Angeles mayor – incumbent Mayor Karen Bass and Los Angeles City Councilwoman Nithya Raman, 4th District – have garnered a long list of endorsements in their bids to the lead the city. The Beverly Press reached… -
In California’s 38th Congressional District, Pedro Antonio Casas and Hilda Solis face offIt’s a common refrain across the country this midterm election cycle, but both candidates for California’s 38th Congressional District also had the same answer when asked about the No. 1 issue in their communities: affordability. Retired… -
Hochman promises ‘amazing progress’ in MacArthur Park by 2028 OlympicsLos Angeles County District Attorney Nathan Hochman promised at a Tuesday night town hall that MacArthur Park will see “amazing progress” in public safety before the 2028 Olympic Games. Several community members told LAist they have seen… -
LA County delays proposal to restrict large data centersA proposal to restrict large data centers in unincorporated Los Angeles County was referred back to Supervisor Hilda Solis’ office Oct. 6. The action delayed a motion that would direct county planners to draft a zoning amendment. It did… -
Hilda Solis, CA-38 candidate, 2026 election questionnaireName: Hilda L. Solis Current job title: Chair, Los Angeles County Board of Supervisors, First District Other political positions held: Rio Hondo Community College District Trustee; California State Assemblywoman District 57; California…
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Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
13.88%median
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Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
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Median 45.43%Middle half 42.33% – 48.36%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions