Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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CA-35 House election: Norma Torres vote percent
The odds
60.37%median
52%72%
Median 60.37%Middle half 57.5% – 63.27%
How the odds have moved
Median: 59.97% on Oct 19, 60.37% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 54% | 95% | ▲ 1 | 91¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | |
| At least 56% | 86% | ▲ 1 | 81¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | |
| At least 58% | 72% | ▲ 1 | 67¢ | 76¢ | $1.32 | |
| At least 60% | 54% | ▲ 1 | 49¢ | 58¢ | $1.72 | |
| At least 62% | 35% | ▲ 1 | 30¢ | 39¢ | $2.56 | |
| At least 64% | 20% | ▲ 1 | 15¢ | 24¢ | $4.17 | |
| At least 66% | 9% | 4¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | ||
| At least 68% | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 | |||
| At least 70% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: CA- House, Norma Torres
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Reps say Adelanto has made little progress on unsanitary conditionsConditions at the Adelanto ICE Processing Center have improved, but serious concerns remain, according to Rep. Robert Garcia, who represents Long Beach, and other members of Congress who visited the facility Friday. At a news conference… -
Congresswoman Luz Rivas Joins Colleagues for Unannounced Oversight Visit at Adelanto, Raises Concerns About Inhumane ConditionsAdelanto, California — Congresswoman Luz Rivas (CA-29), representative for California’s 29th Congressional District, conducted an unannounced Congressional oversight visit of the Adelanto ICE Detention Center with her colleagues… -
Rep. Derek Tran and California Congressional Democrats Visit ICE Facility, Demand Accountability for Reports of Unsafe, Filthy ConditionsWashington, D.C.– U.S. Representative Derek Tran (CA-45) and members of the California Congressional delegation conducted an unannounced oversight visit to Adelanto ICE Processing Center in Adelanto, California. Alongside Rep. Rep. Derek… -
Members of Congress report mold, ‘filthy’ kitchenware during unannounced Adelanto ICE facility visitA group of Democratic members of Congress said they found mold and hair in shower areas and dirty cookware and couldn’t talk with detainees when they made an unannounced tour of the Adelanto ICE Processing Center on Friday. Rep. Robert… - Adelanto oversight visitRemaining issues: At a news conference immediately following the visit, the representatives described unsanitary conditions in the showers and kitchen areas, food that looked inedible and inadequate access to medical care. Conditions at…
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CHS students voice concern over sexual assault, Cornell caseBy Andrew Alonzo | [email protected] About 100 students from Claremont High School walked out of class Tuesday afternoon and gathered at the intersection of Foothill and Indian Hill boulevards to advocate for victims of sexual assault. Ash…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions