Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
27.83%median
14%34%
Median 27.83%Middle half 25.59% – 30.33%
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CA-32 House election: Brad Sherman vote percent
The odds
67.19%median
58%78%
Median 67.19%Middle half 64.61% – 69.83%
How the odds have moved
Median: 66.36% on Oct 19, 67.19% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 60% | 96% | 92¢ | $1.04 | |||
| At least 62% | 92% | 87¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | ||
| At least 64% | 81% | 76¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | ||
| At least 66% | 63% | 58¢ | 67¢ | $1.49 | ||
| At least 68% | 42% | 37¢ | 46¢ | $2.17 | ||
| At least 70% | 24% | 19¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | ||
| At least 72% | 10% | 5¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | ||
| At least 74% | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 | |||
| At least 76% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: CA- House, Brad Sherman
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Five Million Dogs and Cats Desperately Need Saving in Vietnam.CAN WE HELP INFLUENCE VIETNAM TO END THE DOG AND CAT MEAT TRADE? The answer to this question is yes. It is the official position of the City of Los Angeles to oppose dog meat, including specifically in the country of Vietnam. On July 3… -
Much Ado About Nothing: Why a Trump-King Jon Un Summit Will Not Take PlaceThe topic of a possible Trump-Kim Jong Un summit is being actively hyped by political opponents and the media in order to create informational commotion. Considering the current geopolitical situation, real negotiations are practically… -
House Democrats Press SEC on AI Trading AgentsHouse Democrats have asked SEC Chair Paul Atkins to explain how the agency is overseeing AI tools that can advise retail investors or execute trades through customer accounts. The June 23 letter targets agentic trading, where AI tools may… - Press Release: Brad Sherman and Democratic Lawmakers Challenge Trump Administration Over California Pipeline RestartLawmakers challenge Trump administration use of federal powers to restart a California oil pipeline, citing legal and political concerns. Lawmakers challenge pipeline restart: Congressman Brad Sherman and several Democratic lawmakers said…
- Press Release: Brad Sherman Joins Democrats in Opposing Trump’s Russian Diesel Purchase PlanSherman and House Democrats condemn Trump’s Russian diesel purchases, urging legislation to block actions benefiting Putin. Brad Sherman condemns Russian diesel purchase authorization: Rep. Brad Sherman said he joined House Foreign Affairs…
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US lawmakers express outrage, Hindu organisation voices concern over foiled attack plot at Illinois templeA security vehicle is parked outside of Sri Venkateswara Swami (Balaji) temple in Aurora Social media. Top US lawmakers, leaders and civil society members have strongly condemned the plot to attack a Hindu temple in Illinois, calling for… -
'Anti-Hindu rhetoric is at an alarming level in America'Top US lawmakers and civil society leaders have vehemently condemned an attempted mass shooting at a Hindu temple in Illinois, sparking urgent calls to combat escalating anti-Indian and anti-Hindu prejudice across America. Top US… -
US lawmakers express outrage over foiled plot to attack Hindu temple in IllinoisNEW YORK: Top US lawmakers, leaders and civil society members have strongly condemned the plot to attack a Hindu temple in Illinois, calling for efforts to combat growing anti-Indian and anti-Hindu prejudice in America. Alexandros… -
US lawmakers condemn alleged plot to attack Hindu temple in IllinoisTop US lawmakers, community leaders and civil society members have strongly condemned an alleged plot to attack a Hindu temple in Illinois and called for action against growing anti-Indian and anti-Hindu prejudice in the country, the Press… -
Sherman Joins House Foreign Affairs Committee Democrats in Condemning Trump’s Russian Diesel DealCongressman Brad Sherman (CA-32), a senior member of the House Foreign Affairs Committee, joined fellow Committee Democrats in condemning President Trump’s decision to authorize purchases of Russian diesel, warning that the move would… - US Democrats look to stop Trump's Saudi nuclear dealPublished on 09/17/2026 at 12:47 pm EDT - Modified on 09/17/2026 at 12:51 pm EDT WASHINGTON, Sept 17 (Reuters) - US House of Representatives Democrats raised concerns on Thursday about President Donald Trump's civil nuclear agreement with…
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Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
45.5%median
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Median 45.5%Middle half 42.33% – 48.36%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions