Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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CA-31 House election: Gil Cisneros vote percent
The odds
62.05%median
54%74%
Median 62.05%Middle half 59.27% – 64.81%
How the odds have moved
Median: 62% on Oct 24, 62.05% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 56% | 94% | ▲ 1 | 89¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | |
| At least 58% | 85% | ▲ 1 | 80¢ | 89¢ | $1.12 | |
| At least 60% | 70% | ▲ 1 | 65¢ | 74¢ | $1.35 | |
| At least 62% | 51% | ▲ 1 | 46¢ | 55¢ | $1.82 | |
| At least 64% | 32% | ▲ 1 | 27¢ | 36¢ | $2.78 | |
| At least 66% | 16% | ▲ 1 | 11¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | |
| At least 68% | 7% | 2¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | ||
| At least 70% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| At least 72% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: CA- House, Gil Cisneros
Search ›- Rep. Thompson receives threatening letter containing white powderU.S. Rep. Mike Thompson said on Monday that he was one of nearly a dozen politicians in California to recently receive a threatening letter containing white powder. “Recently, suspicious envelopes containing white powder have been mailed…
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Sen. Schiff says suspicious envelope addressed to office intercepted - UPI.comOct. 18 (UPI) -- Sen. Adam Schiff announced Sunday that at least one envelope containing "a suspicious substance" was mailed to his offices in California amid a surge in similar mailings targeting elected officials of both parties. The… -
At least 9 California federal lawmakers targeted in nationwide mail threatAt least nine federal lawmakers from California, including Sen. Alex Padilla, are among the dozens of elected officials and state election offices nationwide that have received suspicious letters containing a white powdery substance… -
Southern California lawmakers among those who received ‘suspicious’ letters this weekMultiple Southern California lawmakers, including U.S. Sen. Alex Padilla, said they received suspicious letters this week. Federal authorities are investigating letters with “suspicious substances” that have been mailed to congressional… -
Rep. Derek Tran and California Congressional Democrats Visit ICE Facility, Demand Accountability for Reports of Unsafe, Filthy ConditionsWashington, D.C.– U.S. Representative Derek Tran (CA-45) and members of the California Congressional delegation conducted an unannounced oversight visit to Adelanto ICE Processing Center in Adelanto, California. Alongside Rep. Rep. Derek…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions