Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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CA-20 House election: Sandra Van Scotter vote percent
The odds
35.76%median
28%48%
Median 35.76%Middle half 33.19% – 38.47%
How the odds have moved
Median: 36.33% on Oct 20, 35.76% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 30% | 95% | ▲ 1 | 90¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | |
| At least 32% | 85% | ▲ 1 | 80¢ | 89¢ | $1.12 | |
| At least 34% | 69% | ▲ 1 | 64¢ | 73¢ | $1.37 | |
| At least 36% | 48% | ▲ 1 | 43¢ | 52¢ | $1.92 | 400 |
| At least 38% | 28% | ▲ 1 | 24¢ | 33¢ | $3.03 | 600 |
| At least 40% | 14% | ▲ 1 | 9¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | |
| At least 42% | 6% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | |
| At least 44% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| At least 46% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Sandra Van Scotter, CA- House
Search ›-
Democrat Sandra Van Scotter hopes to unseat Rep. Vince FongResearchers will sleep on their ship to avoid giant crabs that can lift heavy weights, split open coconuts, and may have played a role in Earhart's demise. Omar, an outspoken Trump critic, said the search was "an attempt to target… -
Federal policies at issue in 20th District Congressional seatVoters in California’s 20th Congressional District may take comfort in knowing the race to fill the seat on Nov. 3 features few if any of the personal differences that have marred other local contests in years past. But policy differences…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions