Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.65%median
14%34%
Median 28.65%Middle half 26.29% – 31.08%
Install
CA-15 House election: Kevin Mullin vote percent
The odds
80%median
68%88%
Median 80%Middle half 78.08% – 81.89%
How the odds have moved
Median: 79.11% on Oct 19, 80% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 70% | 97% | ▼ 1 | 95¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | |
| At least 72% | 97% | ▼ 1 | 95¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | |
| At least 74% | 96% | ▼ 1 | 93¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | |
| At least 76% | 91% | 86¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | ||
| At least 78% | 76% | 71¢ | 81¢ | $1.23 | ||
| At least 80% | 50% | 45¢ | 55¢ | $1.82 | ||
| At least 82% | 24% | ▲ 1 | 19¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | |
| At least 84% | 7% | 2¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | ||
| At least 86% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: CA- House, Kevin Mullin
Search ›-
Digital Town Hall - Voting Rights & Elections IntegrityDigital Town Hall – Voting Rights & Elections Integrity Congressman Kevin Mullin (.gov) Digital Town Hall – Voting Rights & Elections Integrity I’m hosting a digital town hall on Tuesday, October 20, at 6 p.m. PT to talk about voting… - Town Hall Question Submission - Oct. 20, 2026Official Website for California's 15th Submit a question to be considered for Congressman Kevin Mullin’s Digital Town Hall with California Attorney General Rob Bonta and California Voting Foundation President Kim Alexander.
-
Bonta Sues Federal Government to Stop Bay Area National Archives ClosureGet informed in minutes with our Voter Guide for California’s November 3 election. California Attorney General Rob Bonta is suing the federal government to block the Bay Area’s National Archives facility from closing. The lawsuit, filed… -
Mullin will push for federal action on archivesU.S. Rep. Kevin Mullin will continue to press at the federal level as California Attorney General Rob Bonta filed a lawsuit challenging the National Archives and Records Administration’s abrupt decision to close the National Archives at… -
California Attorney General Rob Bonta joins the fight to save National ArchivesThe Voice of San Francisco Flanked by Japanese American and Native American community leaders, California Attorney General Rob Bonta escalated a growing national effort to block the Trump administration from closing regional centers of the… -
Kansas City is no place for the Bay Area’s National Archives. They belong hereHistorian Satsuki Ina speaks at the National Archives facility in San Bruno on Aug. 24 to protest the Trump administration’s decision to close the branch. Last Thursday, the federal government announced that the records will be moved to… -
Guest opinion: No on Menlo Park’s Measure P to preserve local control over housingThis is the Con argument from the League of Women Voters. Read the Con argument by Van Kouzoujian of Save Downtown Menlo here. The League of Women Voters of South San Mateo County (LWVSSMC) opposes Measure P on the November ballot for… -
Mullin makes surprise visit to San Francisco International Airport immigration detainment facilitiesU.S. Rep. Kevin Mullin conducted a surprise visit to detainment facilities at SFO as a San Francisco Chronicle investigation found that more than two dozen immigrants, most of whom hold green cards, were held there for more than three…
Related markets
All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
15.83%median
8%28%
Median 15.83%Middle half 14.1% – 18%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
44.48%median
36%56%
Median 44.48%Middle half 41.43% – 47.09%
Alaska Governor election: Treg Taylor vote percent (1st Round)
10.72%median
0%16%
Median 10.72%Middle half 8.36% – 13.61%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
13.88%median
7%40%
Median 13.88%Middle half 10.9% – 17.55%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
45.43%median
30%65%
Median 45.43%Middle half 42.33% – 48.36%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions