Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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AZ-08 House election: Bernadette Greene-Placentia vote percent
The odds
44.65%median
36%54%
Median 44.65%Middle half 42.21% – 47.06%
How the odds have moved
Median: 44.54% on Oct 19, 44.65% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 38% | 96% | 92¢ | $1.04 | |||
| At least 40% | 92% | 87¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | ||
| At least 42% | 77% | 72¢ | 82¢ | $1.22 | 7.00 | |
| At least 44% | 57% | 53¢ | 62¢ | $1.61 | ||
| At least 46% | 35% | 30¢ | 39¢ | $2.56 | ||
| At least 48% | 17% | 12¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | ||
| At least 50% | 7% | 2¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | ||
| At least 52% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: AZ- House, Bernadette Greene-Placentia
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Rundown Promo – AZ House RaceINTRO: Voters remain skeptical of artificial intelligence data centers... with less than two weeks to go until the midterm elections. A Fox News Poll shows 71-percent of registered voters oppose building one in their community. Arizona… -
Americans have a grief problem we still call a mental health problem - Daily IndependentOPINION — Americans have become much better at talking about mental health. We have learned words such as trauma, post-traumatic stress disorder, depression, anxiety, burnout, compassion fatigue and moral injury. It has helped people name… -
MI Senate, AZ House & Women's Midterm Milestones (49)FOX 2 Detroit A look at Michigan's Senate race, Arizona's House battlegrounds and potential historic milestones for women in Congress and governor's races. -
The Violent Cost of Being a Woman in Politics Spans ContinentsWeekend Reading on Women’s Representation is a compilation of stories about women’s representation in politics, on boards, in sports and entertainment, in judicial offices and in the private sector in the U.S. and around the world—with a… -
Rape allegations put Arizona US House candidate in national spotlightPHOENIX — Bernadette Greene-Placentia has spent years under the radar. A retired long-haul trucker, she launched a campaign against Republican Abe Hamadeh during the 2024 election cycle, pitching herself as a working-class alternative to… -
Ansari, other congressional Dems seek end to sexual violence(The Center Square) – Three congressional Democratic representatives talked about dangers that female politicians face frequently during a press conference Tuesday inside a Midtown Phoenix high-rise office building. The trio of lawmakers… -
Dem Candidate In Arizona: My Rape Was Not A ‘Hoax’ Concocted for VotesBernadette Greene-Placentia would like you to know the story of her rape is not an “October Surprise.” “I’m not gonna lie, my world kind of exploded a week ago,” Greene-Placentia told TPM in an interview last week. The 52-year-old former… - Ansari rallies colleagues in support of candidate raped on the campaign trailSecretary of State defiant after discovery of mysterious powder Congresswoman Yassamin Ansari knows firsthand about the dangers that lurk on the campaign trail. She remembers a resident flashing a weapon after knocking on their door…
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Democrat seeks to unseat Republican in red Arizona districtThe Black Chronicle (The Center Square) – A former long-haul truck driver, who’s a Democrat, is trying to win a congressional seat in a deep red part of Arizona. Bernadette Greene-Placentia, who drove trucks for 27 years and […] Democrat… -
2026 Election: Arizona Congressional District 8 explained: What to know about the West Valley racePHOENIX - This district covers the northern and western suburbs of Phoenix in Marico County, to include Glendale, Peoria, Sun City, Sun City West, Anthem and New River, along with parts of Yavapai County. A map of CD-8 can be found on the…
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10.5%median
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Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
13.67%median
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Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
45.26%median
30%65%
Median 45.26%Middle half 41.89% – 48.21%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions