Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
27.83%median
14%34%
Median 27.83%Middle half 25.59% – 30.33%
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AZ-08 House election: Abraham Hamadeh vote percent
The odds
54.57%median
46%64%
Median 54.57%Middle half 52.24% – 57%
How the odds have moved
Median: 54.32% on Oct 19, 54.57% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 48% | 96% | 92¢ | $1.04 | |||
| At least 50% | 89% | 87¢ | 91¢ | $1.10 | ||
| At least 52% | 78% | 73¢ | 82¢ | $1.22 | ||
| At least 54% | 56% | 52¢ | 61¢ | $1.64 | 415 | |
| At least 56% | 34% | 29¢ | 38¢ | $2.63 | 46.00 | |
| At least 58% | 17% | 12¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | 66.00 | |
| At least 60% | 6% | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 43.00 | |
| At least 62% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | 297 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: AZ- House, Abraham Hamadeh
Search ›-
Rundown Promo – AZ House RaceINTRO: Voters remain skeptical of artificial intelligence data centers... with less than two weeks to go until the midterm elections. A Fox News Poll shows 71-percent of registered voters oppose building one in their community. Arizona… -
MI Senate, AZ House & Women's Midterm Milestones (49)FOX 2 Detroit A look at Michigan's Senate race, Arizona's House battlegrounds and potential historic milestones for women in Congress and governor's races. - Press Release: Abe Hamadeh Urges U.S. Action Against Houthis, Backing Saudi ArabiaHamadeh argues the U.S. should back Saudi Arabia and use sanctions and support to defeat the Iran-backed Houthis. Hamadeh argues for stronger action in the Red Sea: In an opinion piece, Rep. Abe Hamadeh says the U.S. should take a hard…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions