Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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AZ-07 House election: Daniel Butierez vote percent
The odds
29.77%median
22%42%
Median 29.77%Middle half 27.35% – 32.33%
How the odds have moved
Median: 29.37% on Oct 19, 29.77% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 24% | 96% | 91¢ | $1.05 | |||
| At least 26% | 87% | 82¢ | 91¢ | $1.10 | ||
| At least 28% | 70% | 65¢ | 74¢ | $1.35 | ||
| At least 30% | 48% | 43¢ | 52¢ | $1.92 | ||
| At least 32% | 28% | 23¢ | 32¢ | $3.13 | ||
| At least 34% | 13% | 8¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | ||
| At least 36% | 5% | 9¢ | $11.11 | |||
| At least 38% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| At least 40% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: AZ- House, Daniel Butierez
Search ›-
Rundown Promo – AZ House RaceINTRO: Voters remain skeptical of artificial intelligence data centers... with less than two weeks to go until the midterm elections. A Fox News Poll shows 71-percent of registered voters oppose building one in their community. Arizona… -
MI Senate, AZ House & Women's Midterm Milestones (49)FOX 2 Detroit A look at Michigan's Senate race, Arizona's House battlegrounds and potential historic milestones for women in Congress and governor's races. - AZ Republican Congressional candidate Daniel Butierez on midterms, immigration | The Press RoomAs the November midterm elections approach, The Press Room is featuring in-depth interviews with the candidates running to represent Southern Arizona's two Congressional Districts. This week Daniel Butierez, the Republican challenger in…
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Arizona District 7 voter guide: Where Grijalva and Butierez standAs the Trump administration continues to focus on increasingly aggressive immigration enforcement, two congressional candidates are set for a rematch to represent a district that stretches across Southern Arizona’s U.S.-México border…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions