Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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AZ-04 House election: Greg Stanton vote percent
The odds
58.26%median
48%68%
Median 58.26%Middle half 55.53% – 61.06%
How the odds have moved
Median: 57.87% on Oct 19, 58.26% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 50% | 94% | ▼ 2 | 93¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | 521 |
| At least 52% | 93% | ▼ 2 | 90¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | |
| At least 54% | 87% | 82¢ | 91¢ | $1.10 | ||
| At least 56% | 72% | 67¢ | 76¢ | $1.32 | ||
| At least 58% | 53% | 48¢ | 57¢ | $1.75 | ||
| At least 60% | 34% | 29¢ | 38¢ | $2.63 | ||
| At least 62% | 18% | 13¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 | ||
| At least 64% | 8% | 3¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | ||
| At least 66% | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: AZ- House, Greg Stanton
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Rundown Promo – AZ House RaceINTRO: Voters remain skeptical of artificial intelligence data centers... with less than two weeks to go until the midterm elections. A Fox News Poll shows 71-percent of registered voters oppose building one in their community. Arizona… -
Greg Stanton, Yassamin Ansari, and Adelita Grijalva Receive 'Suspicious' Letters at Arizona OfficesRepresentatives Greg Stanton (D-AZ), Yassamin Ansari (D-AZ), and Adelita Grijalva (D-AZ) have received "suspicious letters" at their Arizona offices. Over the weekend, the FBI informed the three lawmakers that their offices received mail… -
MI Senate, AZ House & Women's Midterm Milestones (49)FOX 2 Detroit A look at Michigan's Senate race, Arizona's House battlegrounds and potential historic milestones for women in Congress and governor's races. -
Interior secretary warns Arizona over Colorado River lawsuitPHOENIX — Arizona's historic legal fight over Colorado River water is drawing a warning from one of the Trump administration's top officials, even as an Arizona congressman defends the state's decision to take the federal government to… -
Arizona utilities spend on both partiesArizona’s largest utilities are spreading hundreds of thousands of dollars across Republican and Democratic campaigns, seeking influence with whoever controls the state Capitol after the November election. But the utilities' political… -
Arizona legislative candidate faces antisemitic death threatsA Democrat running for the Arizona House of Representatives in a Valley legislative district has received antisemitic death threats. Former Scottsdale Councilwoman Tammy Caputi, who is running in Legislative District 4, said her campaign… -
Analysts: Arizona’s newest national park could drive economyArizona’s first national park in six years has the potential to transform a sleepy corner of the state. That’s the verdict from natural resources economists such as Dari Fae Duval of the University of Arizona, who believe the newly… -
SNAKEBITE— 10.22.26— Biggs Condemns Slotkin's Controversial Remarks— Gallego and Kelly on Air Quality Changes— Crane's Vets' Center Bill Now Law, Much More...Senator Mark Kelly: This is voter intimidation, plain and simple. Don't let anyone tell you this is about election security. It's about scaring eligible Americans from exercising their right to vote, and it’s not going to work. Senator… - SNAKEBITE— 10.21.26— Stanton, Ansari, Grijalva's Suspicious Mail— Kelly on DO Handgun Sale Decision— Gallego on MSI Funding, Noncitizen Voters, Much More...AZ Attorney General Kris Mayes: Playgrounds are where Arizona kids learn, play, and grow, and our schools and communities shouldn’t pay inflated prices for them. I’m proud to join the FTC and a bipartisan coalition of attorneys general to…
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White powder letters sent to Arizona lawmakers reflect surge of political intimidationWASHINGTON – The powder in a letter sent to Rep. Adelita Grijalva tested negative for anything harmful, an aide to the Tucson Democrat said Tuesday. But that and other suspicious letters sent in recent days to other Arizona lawmakers and… -
Chiricahua Monument Becomes America’s 64th National ParkChiricahua National Monument became the nation's newest national park. (Image by EWY Media, Shutterstock) Arizona has a new national park to add to the bucket list. The White House announced Tuesday that Chiricahua National Monument has… -
Chiricahua officially becomes nation’s 64th national park, Arizona’s fourthPresident Donald Trump signed bipartisan legislation redesignating the southeastern Arizona monument, known for its towering rock spires, as a national park. Chiricahua became Arizona’s fourth national park and the nation’s 64th on Tuesday…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions