Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
Install
AR-04 House election: Bruce Westerman vote percent
The odds
65.73%median
58%78%
Median 65.73%Middle half 62.88% – 68.32%
How the odds have moved
Median: 66% on Oct 19, 65.73% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 60% | 93% | ▲ 1 | 88¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | |
| At least 62% | 82% | ▲ 1 | 78¢ | 86¢ | $1.16 | 5.00 |
| At least 64% | 66% | ▲ 1 | 62¢ | 70¢ | $1.43 | 5.00 |
| At least 66% | 48% | ▲ 1 | 43¢ | 52¢ | $1.92 | 463 |
| At least 68% | 28% | ▲ 1 | 23¢ | 32¢ | $3.13 | 205 |
| At least 70% | 12% | 8¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | 5.00 | |
| At least 72% | 4% | 8¢ | $12.50 | 5.00 | ||
| At least 74% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 5.00 | ||
| At least 76% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: AR- House, Bruce Westerman
Search ›-
Key energy lobbyists call for swift enactment of bipartisan Fix Our Forests ActThe measure, S. 1462 / H.R. 471, would establish requirements for managing forests on federal lands, including requirements concerning reducing wildfire threats, expediting the review of certain forest management projects, and implementing… -
What is on the Crawford County ballot in November?CRAWFORD COUNTY, Ark. (KNWA/KFTA) — Voters in Crawford County are heading to the polls to vote in local, county and state races, along with a handful of issues. Early voting got underway on Oct. 19, and it runs through Nov. 2. Arkansas… - Barrick Gold Lobbies Mining Regulatory Clarity ActThe third-quarter 2026 team: H.R. 1366, sponsored by Rep. Mark E. Amodei (R-NV-2), passed the House and was placed on the Senate Legislative Calendar as Calendar No. 357 on March 17, 2026. The Senate companion, S. 544, sponsored by Sen…
-
Senators help PB Arsenal break ground on Plainview GateThe Pine Bluff Arsenal took another step in its revitalization with the groundbreaking of a $24.6-million access control point at its Plainview Gate on Monday (Oct. 19). Sens. John Boozman and Tom Cotton, both R-Ark., part of the… - Early Voting Now Open for Southeast Arkansas November General ElectionEarly voting for Arkansas’s November 3rd general election began Monday, October 19th, giving registered voters across Southeast Arkansas an opportunity to cast their ballots ahead of Election Day. Early voting will continue through Monday…
-
November 2026 ArkLaMiss election guideMONROE, La. (KNOE) - Voters all across the U.S. will go to the polls on Nov. 3 for the 2026 midterm elections. Here is a look at what voters will be deciding in both Louisiana and Arkansas. You can get election results here, and also learn… - Press Release: Troy Downing Bill Signed Into Law to Update Crow Tribe Water Rights SettlementBill signed into law: A congressional office said President Trump signed the Crow Tribe Water Rights Settlement Amendments Act of 2025, with Sen. Steve Daines and Rep. Troy Downing backing the measure in Congress. What the law changes: The…
- Reauthorization of Regional Ocean Partnerships Introduced in the House of RepresentativesProposed legislation will bring continued support for regional collaboration to identify and develop solutions for coastal environments and economies OCEAN SPRINGS, MS, UNITED STATES, October 15, 2026 /EINPresswire.com/ -- U.S. Congressman…
-
Bruce Westerman faces challenger James Russell in debate5newsonline.com Bruce Westerman faces challenger James Russell in debate To stream 5NEWS on your phone, you need the 5NEWS app. Download the 5NEWS app Next up in 5 Example video title will go here for this video Before You Leave, Check… -
House candidates criticize Trump Russia diesel deal, split on other issuesChemistry students in Karen Ferrer’s class at St. Joseph High School recently took part in a colorful experiment. We were on our way back from the cabin this afternoon when Jesse exclaimed, “Look, a lamb.” Candidates for Arkansas’ 4th… -
ELECTION 2026 | Republican Westerman, Democrat Russell face off in 4th District debateTexarkana Gazette ELECTION 2026 | Republican Westerman, Democrat Russell face off in 4th District debate Topics span war, health, data centers WASHINGTON -- U.S. Rep. Bruce Westerman, R-Ark., leaned on his legislative expertise during… -
Westerman, Russell criticize Trump’s Russia diesel deal, split on other issues in debateRepublican U.S. Rep. Bruce Westerman and Democratic challenger James Russell criticized President Donald Trump’s plan to purchase diesel from Russia but split on who’s to blame for rising gas prices as the two met for a debate on Monday…
Related markets
All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
15.8%median
8%28%
Median 15.8%Middle half 14.13% – 18%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
44.77%median
32%56%
Median 44.77%Middle half 41.27% – 47.5%
Alaska Governor election: Treg Taylor vote percent (1st Round)
10.75%median
0%16%
Median 10.75%Middle half 8.41% – 13.61%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
13.88%median
7%40%
Median 13.88%Middle half 10.49% – 17.65%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
45.43%median
30%65%
Median 45.43%Middle half 41.97% – 48.29%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions