Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
27.83%median
14%34%
Median 27.83%Middle half 25.59% – 30.33%
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AR-03 House election: Robb Ryerse vote percent
The odds
37.29%median
30%48%
Median 37.29%Middle half 34.72% – 39.84%
How the odds have moved
Median: 37.29% on Oct 24, 37.29% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 32% | 94% | 89¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | ||
| At least 34% | 82% | 77¢ | 86¢ | $1.16 | ||
| At least 36% | 64% | 59¢ | 68¢ | $1.47 | ||
| At least 38% | 43% | 38¢ | 47¢ | $2.13 | ||
| At least 40% | 24% | 19¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | ||
| At least 42% | 11% | 6¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | ||
| At least 44% | 4% | 8¢ | $12.50 | |||
| At least 46% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: AR- House, Robb Ryerse
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Candidates meet with Northwest Arkansas voters at Springdale forumFred Love, Robb Ryerse and Courtney King joined voters Wednesday night at the Jones Center for a community forum featuring candidate discussions and audience participation. Several Democratic candidates running for state office met with… -
Arkansas 3rd Congressional District candidates debate data centers, rural healthcare, and privacyCONWAY, Ark. — Three candidates running to represent Arkansas’s 3rd Congressional District faced off Wednesday, Oct. 14, answering questions about data centers, artificial intelligence, rural healthcare, immigration and privacy. Republican… -
Technology, immigration, inflation, health care key topics in Third District debateby Michael Tilley 7 minutes ago 12 views Immigration, inflation, health care, AI, data centers, and flock cameras were topics of discussion Wednesday (Oct. 14) during the debate between Arkansas’ Third Congressional District candidates… -
Arkansas' 3rd Congressional District candidates set to debateThe three candidates running for Arkansas' 3rd Congressional District seat in the U.S. House are scheduled to debate Wednesday afternoon at 2:30 p.m. Follow this link to watch the debate. Democrat Robb Ryerse, Libertarian Bobby Wilson and…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions