Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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AR-01 House election: Terri Green vote percent
The odds
30.04%median
20%40%
Median 30.04%Middle half 27.81% – 32.41%
How the odds have moved
Median: 29.66% on Oct 19, 30.04% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 22% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 24% | 97% | 93¢ | $1.04 | |||
| At least 26% | 90% | 85¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | ||
| At least 28% | 74% | 69¢ | 78¢ | $1.28 | ||
| At least 30% | 51% | 46¢ | 55¢ | $1.82 | ||
| At least 32% | 28% | 24¢ | 32¢ | $3.13 | 39.00 | |
| At least 34% | 14% | 9¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | ||
| At least 36% | 5% | 9¢ | $11.11 | |||
| At least 38% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: AR- House, Terri Green
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Voters are preparing to head to polls1 day for $1.504 weeks $11.0012 weeks $33.8024 weeks $67.6052 weeks $130.00 Voters in Greene County will decide federal, state, judicial, county and city races when they head to the polls on Nov. 3. The November ballot will include at…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions