Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
27.83%median
14%34%
Median 27.83%Middle half 25.59% – 30.33%
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AL-02 House election: Rhett Marques vote percent
The odds
51.53%median
42%62%
Median 51.53%Middle half 48.83% – 54.23%
How the odds have moved
Median: 52% on Oct 19, 51.53% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 44% | 97% | 93¢ | $1.04 | |||
| At least 46% | 94% | ▲ 2 | 89¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | |
| At least 48% | 83% | ▲ 2 | 78¢ | 87¢ | $1.15 | |
| At least 50% | 65% | ▲ 1 | 61¢ | 68¢ | $1.47 | 50.00 |
| At least 52% | 46% | ▲ 2 | 41¢ | 50¢ | $2.00 | |
| At least 54% | 27% | ▲ 1 | 22¢ | 31¢ | $3.23 | 200 |
| At least 56% | 14% | ▲ 1 | 9¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | |
| At least 58% | 5% | 9¢ | $11.11 | 700 | ||
| At least 60% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | 1.2K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: AL- House, Rhett Marques
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Alabama Young Republicans hold state meeting, GOTV push for Rhett MarquesThe Young Republican Federation of Alabama held its biannual state meeting in Enterprise last weekend, and members spent it knocking doors for State Rep. Rhett Marques (R-Enterprise), the Republican nominee in the newly redrawn 2nd… -
Young Republicans of Alabama descend on Enterprise to support Rhett MarquesENTERPRISE — On Saturday, several members of The Young Republican Federation of Alabama traveled from all across the state to the City of Progress in support of the Republican nominee for Congressional District 2, State Rep. Rhett Marques… -
How Alabama's Republicans are disenfranchising Black voters – videoA battle for Alabama’s second congressional district is being fought against a backdrop of partisan gerrymandering and America’s ongoing civil rights struggle. Oliver Laughland and Tom Silverstone track down the Maga Republican Rhett… -
Figures, Sewell, Booker rally in Montgomery for 2nd Congressional District raceU.S. Rep. Shomari Figures, D-Mobile, (center) and U.S. Sen. Cory Booker, D-N.J,(right) smile as U.S. Rep Terri Sewell, D-Birmingham (left) addresses the crowd during a rally in Montgomery on October 22, 2026. (Andrea Tinker/Alabama… -
Bibb Voice Newsbits – October 22, 2026Alabama awards nearly $55 million in additional rural health grants — Bibb County among counties served Gov. Ivey commutes death row inmate’s sentence, citing doubts about the evidence Ivey commuted Toforest Johnson’s death sentence to… -
Shomari Figures airs new ‘6-7’ ad hitting Marques over gas tax in redrawn Alabama districtU.S. Rep. Shomari Figures (D-Mobile) is on the air with a new spot tying GOP challenger State Rep. Rhett Marques (R-Enterprise) to Alabama’s 2019 gas tax increase, the latest sign the incumbent plans to make pump prices the closing… -
‘Swing district.’ Steve Scalise stumps for Marques in competitive 2nd District raceDOTHAN, Ala. — House Majority Leader Steve Scalise urged Republicans Monday to rally around State Rep. Rhett Marques during a campaign stop in Dothan as both national parties vie for Alabama’s 2nd Congressional District seat. Speaking… -
House Majority Leader Scalise: Alabama’s 2nd District could decide US House controlDOTHAN, Ala. (WTVY) - House Majority Leader Steve Scalise campaigned in Dothan Monday for Republican Rhett Marques, as the party works to hold a congressional seat that could help decide control of the U.S. House. “For the first time in a… -
House Majority Leader Scalise visits Dothan for campaign stopDOTHAN, Ala. (WTVY) - U.S. House Majority Leader Rep. Steve Scalise, R-La., will travel to Dothan on Monday afternoon for a campaign stop with Republican congressional nominee Rhett Marques. Marques faces incumbent U.S. Rep. Shomari… -
Capitol Journal – October 16, 2026Jeff Sanders took over the anchor chair this week and welcomed candidates from the big AL-2 congressional race: incumbent Congressman Shomari Figures and State Rep. Rhett Marques. Did you catch Capitol Journal this week? Jeff Sanders took… -
Democrat U.S. Rep. Shomari Figures holds $1 million fundraising lead over Rhett Marques in CD-2 raceIn the closing months of a tight Congressional District 2 race, U.S. Rep. Shomari Figures (D-Montgomery) has massively outpaced State Rep. Rhett Marques (R-Enterprise) in fundraising. According to financial reports filed on Thursday… -
'Pathetic': Cornered Republican finally demands ally resign amid lurid scandalAlabama State Rep. Brett Easterbrook. (Image: Screengrab via The Choctaw Sun-Advocate) After getting cornered in public, Alabama’s first Republican lawmaker finally spoke out over a fellow Republican’s indictment for attempted sex…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions