Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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NC-11 House election: Jennifer Balkcom vote percent
The odds
46.05%median
40%58%
Median 46.05%Middle half 43.4% – 48.76%
How the odds have moved
Median: 45.74% on Oct 24, 46.05% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 42% | 86% | ▲ 4 | 81¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | |
| At least 44% | 71% | ▲ 5 | 66¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | |
| At least 46% | 51% | ▲ 4 | 46¢ | 55¢ | $1.82 | 99.00 |
| At least 48% | 32% | ▲ 5 | 27¢ | 36¢ | $2.78 | |
| At least 50% | 14% | ▲ 2 | 11¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | |
| At least 52% | 7% | ▲ 2 | 2¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | |
| At least 54% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| At least 56% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NC- House, Jennifer Balkcom
Search ›-
Republicans are spending millions and still may not win districts drawn to favor them📲 Get the latest on the midterms & more in the NPR App Starting last year, President Trump and his political team put pressure on Republican-led states to redraw congressional district lines to favor Republicans. It was supposed to build a… - Letter: Ager will step up for us in CongressIn baseball, the rule is three strikes and you’re out. For the last 14 years, Republicans in servitude to Donald Trump and their own shameful personal interests have represented our 11th Congressional District in the House of…
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Recommended StoriesWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a… - JD Vance’s Fiery Rant About Speaking English Explodes Into a Humiliating Viral Disaster When He Botches His Own WordsVice President JD Vance seemed to have trouble getting his words out during a recent rally appearance. The irony of the 42-year-old Ohio native complaining about non-native English speakers while mangling his remarks did not go unnoticed…
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Junior commissioners holding candidate forumRRSpin A youth-led Candidates Forum will be held Saturday at 10 a.m. at the Rosenwald School located on the grounds of the 4-H Rural Life Center outside Halifax. The forum will be completely facilitated by the 2026-27 Halifax Junior County… -
At Greenville rally, Trump threatens to withhold money for veterans exposed to toxic water if Republicans loseIn Greenville, President Donald Trump tied support for victims of water contamination at Camp Lejeune to Republicans winning the midterm elections. Democrats and veterans groups condemned Trump’s remarks. For more than three decades… -
Vance falsely insinuates protester is ‘illegal’ immigrant + Tax limits hit K-12?Good morning and welcome to Under the Dome. I’m Ronni Butts, here to give you the latest in North Carolina politics, with an assist from T. Keung Hui. At a campaign rally Monday in Hendersonville, Victor Quebrado Perez said that he felt a… -
Local candidates discuss local issuesBrunswick County Board of Commissioners candidates (from left) Gary Woods, Randy Thompson, Sara Singer and Patti Hewett during the Oct. 18 Cedar Grove Improvement Association Candidate Forum. Brunswick County Board of Education candidates… - $500K Campaign in NC Calls Out Davis, Ager over Extreme Pro-Abortion Agenda - SBA Pro-Life AmericaSBA Pro-Life America 2776 S. Arlington Mill Dr., #803 Arlington, VA 22206 Stand with us — your gift protects lives. Donate By Phone or Mail 202-223-8073 SBA Pro-Life America 2776 S. Arlington Mill Dr. #803 Arlington, VA 22206 Through…
- Fact check: Where candidates in an NC battleground district stand on immigrationNorth Carolina’s 11th Congressional District is quickly learning the key differences between the Republican, Democratic and Libertarian candidates running to represent them in Congress after the incumbent, Rep. Chuck Edwards, dropped his…
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GOP braces itself as Trump district in Appalachia on path to turn blue: 'Already lost'Republicans may be about to lose a Western North Carolina seat they’ve held for more than a decade, The Washington Sun reported after speaking with over a dozen operatives from both parties. In fact, noted reporter Alex Roarty on X… -
Members of farming families face off in contest for NC mountain congressional seatDemocratic congressional candidate Jamie Ager is a fifth-generation farmer, but that’s not his only family business. Ager, who is running to represent Western North Carolina’s 11th Congressional District, comes from a family of…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions