Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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NC-11 House election: Jamie Ager vote percent
The odds
52.16%median
42%60%
Median 52.16%Middle half 49.53% – 54.91%
How the odds have moved
Median: 52.84% on Oct 19, 52.16% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 44% | 97% | 94¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 46% | 95% | ▼ 1 | 91¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | |
| At least 48% | 87% | ▼ 4 | 82¢ | 91¢ | $1.10 | |
| At least 50% | 72% | ▼ 6 | 67¢ | 76¢ | $1.32 | |
| At least 52% | 52% | ▼ 8 | 47¢ | 56¢ | $1.79 | 503 |
| At least 54% | 33% | ▼ 6 | 28¢ | 37¢ | $2.70 | |
| At least 56% | 16% | ▼ 5 | 12¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | 205 |
| At least 58% | 7% | ▼ 3 | 2¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NC- House, Jamie Ager
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‘Fierce positivity:’ Jamie Ager is relentlessly optimistic. Can he actually win?Editor’s note: The Smoky Mountain News has on several occasions attempted to contact Jennifer Balkcom’s campaign for a profile like this one. On Sept. 17, a campaign staffer texted SMN saying they’d reach out in a week. Despite numerous… -
NC-11 candidate Jamie Ager holds rally in Hendersonville, highlights key issuesHENDERSONVILLE, N.C. (WLOS) — With just two weeks to go, the two candidates for North Carolina's 11th Congressional District are pulling out all the stops this week. Democrat Jamie Ager held a rally in Hendersonville on Tuesday. "I feel… -
Recommended StoriesWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a… -
Left-Wing Dark Money Groups Are Sending Mailers to Mislead NC-01 Voters on Laurie Buckhout's RecordThis time, the mailers sent by "American Forge Coalition" are blatantly lying about Buckhout's position on abortion, falsely claiming that she supports allowing abortion up to birth. This is false. Col. Buckhout is pro-life. This is the… -
A Farmer Tries To Flip Carolina’s Mountain CountryDemocrats have long struggled to find traction in the mountains of western North Carolina, a region that has reliably favored Republicans in recent cycles. Jamie Ager is trying to break that pattern. Ager, a farmer by trade, is working to… -
Junior commissioners holding candidate forumRRSpin A youth-led Candidates Forum will be held Saturday at 10 a.m. at the Rosenwald School located on the grounds of the 4-H Rural Life Center outside Halifax. The forum will be completely facilitated by the 2026-27 Halifax Junior County… -
Local candidates discuss local issuesBrunswick County Board of Commissioners candidates (from left) Gary Woods, Randy Thompson, Sara Singer and Patti Hewett during the Oct. 18 Cedar Grove Improvement Association Candidate Forum. Brunswick County Board of Education candidates… -
Fact check: Do ‘radical Democrats’ AOC, Elizabeth Warren support NC’s Don Davis?In northeastern North Carolina, U.S. Rep. Don Davis, a moderate Democrat, is fighting to keep his congressional seat after state lawmakers redrew his district to be more favorable to Republicans. His opponent, retired U.S. Army officer… -
Letters to the EditorCalling for additional crosswalk safety Vote Democratic for better Jamie Ager will help keep locals local A non-political friend of mine recently asked why I was supporting Jamie Ager for Congress. I have a lot of reasons, but the main… -
National Democrats make serious play in Western North Carolina -In a move that underscores shifting political terrain in Western North Carolina, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee has placed a candidate in North Carolina’s 11th Congressional District on its radar — an unusual step for a… -
GOP braces itself as Trump district in Appalachia on path to turn blue: 'Already lost'Republicans may be about to lose a Western North Carolina seat they’ve held for more than a decade, The Washington Sun reported after speaking with over a dozen operatives from both parties. In fact, noted reporter Alex Roarty on X… -
Members of farming families face off in contest for NC mountain congressional seatDemocratic congressional candidate Jamie Ager is a fifth-generation farmer, but that’s not his only family business. Ager, who is running to represent Western North Carolina’s 11th Congressional District, comes from a family of…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions