Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
Install
MO-05 House election: Emanuel Cleaver vote percent
The odds
62.95%median
36%70%
Median 62.95%Middle half 60.51% – 65.38%
How the odds have moved
Median: 61.88% on Oct 20, 62.95% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 38% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 40% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 42% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 44% | 97% | 95¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 219 | |
| At least 46% | 97% | 95¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 139 | |
| At least 48% | 97% | 95¢ | $1.03 | 35.00 | ||
| At least 50% | 97% | 95¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 556 | |
| At least 52% | 97% | 96¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 1.8K | |
| At least 54% | 97% | 95¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 798 | |
| At least 56% | 96% | 93¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 210 | |
| At least 58% | 93% | 88¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 225 | |
| At least 60% | 80% | 76¢ | 84¢ | $1.19 | 615 | |
| At least 62% | 61% | 56¢ | 65¢ | $1.54 | 210 | |
| At least 64% | 39% | 34¢ | 43¢ | $2.33 | 10.00 | |
| At least 66% | 19% | ▼ 1 | 15¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | 20.00 |
| At least 68% | 7% | ▼ 1 | 3¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 5.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MO- House, Emanuel Cleaver
Search ›-
Flood recognized for bipartisan housing effortsCongressman Mike Flood (left) is presented with an award from the Nebraska State Home Builders Association on Friday at the Norfolk Chamber of Commerce. Greg Geis, president of the association, said Flood received the Defender of Housing… - Fundraising Update: Representative Emanuel Cleaver just disclosed $344.8K of new fundraisingRepresentative Emanuel Cleaver just disclosed $344.8K of fundraising in a Q3 FEC disclosure filed on October 16th, 2026. This is the 367th most from all Q3 reports we have seen from politicians so far this year. 58.5% came from individual…
-
Black Caucus Financial Services members back Maxine Waters as panel's top Democrat - Live Updates - POLITICOWaters’ allies are also discussing other letters of support, including potentially one from a broader group of House Financial Services members. Seven members of the Congressional Black Caucus serving on the House Financial Services… -
Democrats Turn On Maxine Waters As Fight For Powerful Committee Post Erupts – 100PercentFedUp.com – by JackThe Democrat Party’s long-running argument over age and power has landed directly on Rep. Maxine Waters’ doorstep. Rep. Sean Casten of Illinois has told Waters he plans to challenge her for the top Democratic position on the powerful House… -
‘Pointless task at hand.’ How shifting maps changed the race for Missouri’s 5th DistrictMissouri Sen. Rick Brattin appeared to be on a clear path to Congress after securing the Republican nomination in a ruby-red congressional district lawmakers redrew to gain one Republican seat in the U.S. House. Now, Brattin’s path to… -
Waters rallies support as rivals circleYour first read on Capitol Hill politics and policy. You will now start receiving email updates You are already subscribed By KATHERINE HAPGOOD, RILEY ROGERSON, JASPER GOODMAN and CALEN RAZOR 10/15/2026 04:50 AM EDT IN TODAY’S EDITION:—… - Capitol agenda: Waters rallies support as rivals circle - Live Updates - POLITICOTop Financial Services Democrat Maxine Waters and her team have been making calls this week to recruit members to whip for her against potential challengers. The race to be the top House Financial Services Democrat could shape up to be a…
-
Maxine Waters Fights Generational Challenge for House Financial Services Leadershipstreamlinefeed.co.ke Representative Maxine Waters is fighting to retain her position as the top Democrat on the House Financial Services Committee, facing a generational challenge from younger lawmakers amid a broader push for caucus… -
Missouri's Republican governor calls special session on redistrictingAugust 29, 2025 / 7:34 PM EDT / CBS/AP Republican Gov. Mike Kehoe said Friday that he is calling Missouri lawmakers into a special session to redraw the state's U.S. House districts as part of a growing national battle between Republicans… -
Missouri’s chaotic map fight is headed to the ballot. Inside Proposition AKANSAS CITY, Mo. — After a dizzying legal battle that drew national attention, Missouri’s map fight is now headed to the ballot box. Missouri voters will decide Nov. 3 whether to approve or strike down a gerrymandered congressional map…
Related markets
All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
15.83%median
8%28%
Median 15.83%Middle half 14.1% – 18.13%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
44.51%median
36%56%
Median 44.51%Middle half 41.5% – 47.09%
Alaska Governor election: Treg Taylor vote percent (1st Round)
10.75%median
0%16%
Median 10.75%Middle half 8.41% – 13.61%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
13.88%median
7%40%
Median 13.88%Middle half 10.94% – 17.55%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
45.75%median
30%65%
Median 45.75%Middle half 42.74% – 48.67%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions