Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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WI-01 House election: Bryan Steil vote percent
The odds
50.05%median
44%62%
Median 50.05%Middle half 47.27% – 52.79%
How the odds have moved
Median: 50.96% on Oct 19, 50.05% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 46% | 85% | 80¢ | 89¢ | $1.12 | ||
| At least 48% | 70% | 65¢ | 74¢ | $1.35 | ||
| At least 50% | 51% | 46¢ | 55¢ | $1.82 | ||
| At least 52% | 31% | 26¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | ||
| At least 54% | 17% | 12¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | ||
| At least 56% | 7% | 2¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | ||
| At least 58% | 5% | 2¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | ||
| At least 60% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: WI- House, Bryan Steil
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Recommended StoriesWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a… -
House Republicans Subpoena New Jersey Secretary of State for Information on the State Registering Over 6,000 Noncitizens to VoteWASHINGTON, D.C. – Today, House Judiciary Committee Chairman Jim Jordan (R-OH), House Administration Committee Chairman Bryan Steil (R-WI), House Judiciary Subcommittee on Oversight Chairman Jeff Van Drew (R-NJ), and House Administration… -
House Republicans subpoena New Jersey for noncitizen voter recordsMikie Sherrill’s administration has only produced 12 documents in three months, the subpoena alleges. House Judiciary Chair Jim Jordan and three of his fellow Republicans have issued a subpoena for records on how thousands of noncitizens… - Press Release: Mary Miller and Bryan Steil Seek Answers Over Champaign County Election ErrorsLawmakers seek answers on Champaign County voting problems: Rep. Mary Miller and House Administration Committee Chairman Bryan Steil said they were asking the Champaign County Clerk and Recorder for an explanation after early voting was…
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House Democrats Sign Up 275 Staffers as Election ObserversRep. Joe Morelle (D–N.Y.) said 275 Democratic House staffers have signed up to serve as official election observers for the Nov. 3 midterms, a record for the party. Morelle, the top Democrat on the Committee on House Administration… -
Republicans have held Wisconsin’s 1st Congressional District for decades. Could this be the year it flips?Incumbent Republican US Rep. Bryan Steil faces Democratic challenger Mitchell Berman in the closely watched district On a chilly fall night in late September, dozens of people packed into the pews at Greendale Community Church. One year… -
Student loan forgiveness is a ticking tax bomb again, study warnsThe Republican candidate for Wisconsin governor met with the newspaper's editorial board recently and discussed his experience, priorities, the 2020 election, UW-Madison and more. Scott Milfred and Phil Hands play discuss and play clips… -
House Republicans Subpoena New Jersey Governor to Explain Noncitizen Voter ErrorThe Republican leaders of the House Judiciary and Administration Committees have subpoenaed the administration of New Jersey Gov. Mikie Sherrill, demanding answers on why 6,600 noncitizens remained registered to vote until 2026. Sherrill… -
US states prepare for surge of DOJ election watchersDemocrats hold a 10-point lead over Republicans in the race for Congress, according to a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS. The findings come as dissatisfaction with President Donald Trump and concerns about the economy shape voter attitudes… -
Van Drew leads charge in subpoena to find how noncitizens registered to voteHouse Republican leaders subpoenaed Democratic Gov. Mikie Sherrill’s administration for records to learn more about how approximately 6,000 New Jerseyans who said they were noncitizens were registered to vote. Rep. Jeff Van Drew (R), who… -
GOP renews hysteria over New Jersey voter registration snafu, still seeking voter datato see more of our voting rights news coverage when you search. The GOP is escalating threats against New Jersey, months after a software glitch that erroneously resulted in fewer than 400 ineligible people voting. Republicans immediately… -
House Panels Slam New Jersey With Subpoena Over Thousands of Noncitizens on Voter RollsTwo U.S. House committees are jointly subpoenaing the New Jersey State Department after accusing the state of failing to cooperate fully with an investigation into more than 6,000 noncitizens recently found on its voter rolls. House…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions