Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.64%median
14%34%
Median 28.64%Middle half 26.29% – 31.03%
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VA-07 House election: Eugene Vindman vote percent
The odds
56.96%median
48%68%
Median 56.96%Middle half 54.63% – 59.3%
How the odds have moved
Median: 56.8% on Oct 19, 56.96% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 50% | 96% | 93¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | ||
| At least 52% | 93% | 88¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | ||
| At least 54% | 82% | 77¢ | 86¢ | $1.16 | 400 | |
| At least 56% | 61% | 56¢ | 66¢ | $1.52 | ||
| At least 58% | 38% | 33¢ | 43¢ | $2.33 | 11.00 | |
| At least 60% | 18% | 13¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | ||
| At least 62% | 8% | ▲ 1 | 3¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | |
| At least 64% | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | ||
| At least 66% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: VA- House, Eugene Vindman
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Virginians prepare to vote in US House races after redistricting roller coasterFollow WTOP’s team coverage of Election 2026 online, on air at 103.5 FM or on the WTOP News app. And for all the latest developments in Congress, follow WTOP Capitol Hill correspondent Mitchell Miller at Today on the Hill. This year’s… -
Virginia's 7th District has been swung between both major parties historicallyOne of Virginia's congressional districts has a long history of supporting Republicans and Democrats. But the district is not expected to swing this year although it is the most expensive anywhere in the Commonwealth. Virginia's 7th… - NextEra Lobbying Reaches $3 Million Amid Dominion Merger ReviewNextEra Energy Inc. reported $3 million in federal lobbying expenditures across 17 registrants in the third quarter, up $421,000 from the same quarter last year. Its in-house disclosure identifies electricity transmission, generation and…
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Vindman, Ollivant weigh in on immigration, high prices, data centersRep. Eugene Vindman, left, meets with voters at a restaurant in Fredericksburg with Maryland Gov. Wes Moore, center, and Del. Josh Cole, right. Both incumbent Rep. Eugene Vindman and Douglas Ollivant, his Republican challenger, say they… -
Reps. Vindman and Subramanyam among lawmakers to receive suspicious lettersNorthern Virginia Reps. Vindman and Subramanyam received suspicious letters with an unknown substance, InsideNoVa reports. U.S. Reps. Suhas Subramanyam, D-Va.-10th, and Eugene Vindman, D-Va.-7th, are among federal lawmakers who have… - Fundraising Update: Representative Eugene Vindman just disclosed $3.1M of new fundraisingRepresentative Eugene Vindman just disclosed $3.1M of fundraising in a Q3 FEC disclosure filed on October 15th, 2026. This is the 28th most from all Q3 reports we have seen from politicians so far this year. 94.8% came from individual…
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This is what Daily Kos is forYes, this – electing more and better Democrats! We have a chance to help a Democrat right now. Many here know of her, much has been written about her. I’ve linked to just some of the pieces by several authors. The D Party blocked Jasmine… -
Reps. Vindman, Subramanyam among those to receive 'suspicious' lettersDemocratic U.S. Reps. Eugene Vindman, left, and Suhas Subramanyam Two Northern Virginia congressmen are among federal lawmakers who have received suspicious mail at their district offices in recent weeks. U.S. Reps. Suhas Subramanyam… - Trump's Russia Sanctions Waiver Draws Bipartisan BacklashPresident Trump waived a recently enacted bipartisan Russia sanctions law, drawing criticism from members of both parties. The New York Times reported that Trump set aside the bipartisan sanctions law amid his pursuit of deals with Moscow…
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Maryland Rep. Steny Hoyer among latest to receive suspicious letter to officeGREENBELT, Md. (7News) — Maryland Rep. Steny Hoyer said his office was among the latest to receive a "potentially hazardous letter," sent to his office in Greenbelt, Maryland, according to a statement. The letter was similar to those sent… -
Suspicious letters with white powder sent to 3 Virginia congressmenThree Virginia congressmen, all Democrats, are among the dozens of Washington lawmakers who have received suspicious letters containing white powder reminiscent of the anthrax attacks that killed five people 25 years ago. Virginia state… -
James Comer Promises “Smooth Transition” If GOP Loses, House FlipsRep. James Comer, Gage Skidmore, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons On the Fox News show Sunday Night in America, host Trey Gowdy, a former U.S. Representative (R-SC), interviewed House Oversight Committee chairman James Comer (R-KY) and…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions