Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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VA-07 House election: Douglas Ollivant vote percent
The odds
41.72%median
32%52%
Median 41.72%Middle half 39.59% – 44.33%
How the odds have moved
Median: 41.87% on Oct 19, 41.72% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 34% | 97% | 95¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 36% | 96% | 93¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 38% | 89% | 84¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | ||
| At least 40% | 72% | 67¢ | 76¢ | $1.32 | ||
| At least 42% | 47% | 42¢ | 51¢ | $1.96 | 200 | |
| At least 44% | 28% | 23¢ | 32¢ | $3.13 | ||
| At least 46% | 13% | 8¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | ||
| At least 48% | 6% | 2¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | ||
| At least 50% | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: VA- House, Douglas Ollivant
Search ›-
Vindman, Ollivant weigh in on immigration, high prices, data centersRep. Eugene Vindman, left, meets with voters at a restaurant in Fredericksburg with Maryland Gov. Wes Moore, center, and Del. Josh Cole, right. Both incumbent Rep. Eugene Vindman and Douglas Ollivant, his Republican challenger, say they… -
This is what Daily Kos is forYes, this – electing more and better Democrats! We have a chance to help a Democrat right now. Many here know of her, much has been written about her. I’ve linked to just some of the pieces by several authors. The D Party blocked Jasmine… -
W. Va. House of Del. incumbent Mallow to defend seat against LongstrethThe 2026 General Election will take place on Nov. 3. Early voting begins Oct. 21. Editor’s Note: The following is a part of a series of profiles on candidates running in the General Election being held Nov. 3. FAIRMONT, W.Va. — Republican… -
Voter Guide For Prince William County: What's On The Ballot, Early Voting & MorePRINCE WILLIAM COUNTY, VA — Prince William County voters will choose a U.S. senator and a member of Congress in the Nov. 3 general election, along with deciding three proposed amendments to the Virginia Constitution. Some voters will also… -
Voter Guide For Fredericksburg: What's On The Ballot, Early Voting & MoreFREDERICKSBURG, VA — On Nov. 3, voters in Fredericksburg will cast ballots to choose their representatives on Capitol Hill. They will also vote on three statewide ballot questions. In the Aug. 4 Republican primary, Bert Mizusawa was… -
Independent candidate Randall Terry focuses on one issueCandidate Terry highlights abortion as a human life issue Fredericksburg.com Randall Terry is an Independent candidate running to represent Virginia’s 7th Congressional District in the U.S. House of Representatives. Terry is running… -
Joshua Ertle answers questions for votersJoshua Ertle is an independent candidate running to represent Virginia’s 7th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. Ertle is running against incumbent Congressman Eugene Vindman (D), as well as Alaha Ahrar (I), Taner… -
Vindman faces crowded field in 7th District raceRep. Eugene Vindman faces five challengers, including Republican Douglas Ollivant, in the 7th District, the Virginia Mercury reports. U.S. Rep. Eugene Vindman, D-Woodbridge, faces five challengers on the ballot, including Republican… -
Vindman faces crowded field and economic pressures in Virginia’s 7th District Congressional raceRepublican nominee Ollivant to continue in race after cancer diagnosis. U.S. Rep. Eugene Vindman, D-Woodbridge, is seeking a second term in one of Virginia’s most politically astute and competitive districts, where five challengers —…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions