Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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VA-01 House election: Rob Wittman vote percent
The odds
48.41%median
42%60%
Median 48.41%Middle half 46.05% – 50.83%
How the odds have moved
Median: 49.05% on Oct 19, 48.41% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 44% | 90% | 85¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | ||
| At least 46% | 76% | 71¢ | 80¢ | $1.25 | ||
| At least 48% | 55% | 50¢ | 59¢ | $1.69 | 280 | |
| At least 50% | 33% | 28¢ | 37¢ | $2.70 | ||
| At least 52% | 14% | 10¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | ||
| At least 54% | 6% | 2¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | ||
| At least 56% | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | ||
| At least 58% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: VA- House, Rob Wittman
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Rep. Rob Wittman disagrees with President Trump on lifting sanctions on Russia and diesel purchaseRICHMOND, Va. — With early voting underway ahead of Election Day on Tuesday, November 3, it's time to meet the candidates. Each of the major candidates in Virginia's US Senate race and the three Congressional races in the WTVR viewing area… -
NEW AD: Sheriffs Call Out Rob Wittman’s Lies, “Smear Campaign” Against Shannon TaylorGood stuff from the Shannon Taylor for VA01 campaign, pushing back on MAGA Rob Wittman’s outrageous lies, slanders, etc. NEW AD: Sheriffs Call Out Rob Wittman’s Lies Against Shannon Taylor Multiple local fact checkers called Wittman’s… -
Lawsuit against Shannon Taylor comes from GOP-linked law firmA partner at the firm endorsed Taylor’s Republican opponent. A lawsuit against Democratic House candidate Shannon Taylor was brought by a firm linked to her Republican opponent. Taylor is challenging Rep. Rob Wittman in Virginia’s 1st… -
Hunt Military Communities, U.S. Navy, Department of War, and Community Leaders Celebrate Closing of Homeport Hampton Roads Phase II, Launching Housing Program for Unaccompanied SailorsProgram will deliver more than 8,000 new and improved beds for unaccompanied Sailors across Norfolk, Newport News, and Virginia Beach Speakers at the celebration included Acting Secretary of the Navy Hung Cao; Under Secretary of War… -
EXCLUSIVE: RSC Members Tout Trump’s SNAP Fraud Crackdown Ahead of MidtermsRepublican Study Committee members praised Trump's crackdown on nearly $42 million in SNAP fraud and emphasized the need to continue the initiative. The post EXCLUSIVE: RSC Members Tout Trump’s SNAP Fraud Crackdown Ahead of Midterms… - Virginia congressional candidate denies ex-prosecutor's wrongful firing claimShannon Taylor says a former employee's retaliation lawsuit is a Republican attempt to discredit her amid a tight U.S. House race. HENRICO, Va. (CN) — A Virginia Commonwealth’s Attorney and congressional candidate said on Wednesday that a…
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Where the candidates in three competitive Virginia US House races stand on the issuesIncumbent Republican representatives in Virginia’s 1st, 2nd, and 5th congressional districts are running in tight races against Democratic challengers. Congressional races in the 1st, 2nd and 5th congressional districts of Virginia this… -
These Democrats remind voters that war in Iran isn’t just about gas pricesThree Democrats from different parts of Virginia campaigned together Monday and invoked the war in Iran as a major election issue that goes beyond its effect on the price of gas. The unpopular war, which has roiled oil markets, has been a… -
One-on-one with Virginia's commissioner of electionsWWBT One-on-one with Virginia's commissioner of elections Nonprofits offer free rides to the polls in Richmond Fact checking political ads: Shannon Taylor & Rob Wittman -
Jon Stewart extends his ‘Daily Show’ gig through 2028Three Democrats from different parts of Virginia campaigned together Monday and invoked the war in Iran as a major election issue that goes beyond its effect on the price of gas. The unpopular war, which has roiled oil markets, has been a… -
How 3 Virginia races showcase the House battlegroundVirginia Republicans caught a break this spring when the state Supreme Court struck down a map drawn to help Democrats win 10 of the commonwealth’s 11 House seats. But Virginia remains instructive to the fight for the House majority, and a… -
This is what Daily Kos is forYes, this – electing more and better Democrats! We have a chance to help a Democrat right now. Many here know of her, much has been written about her. I’ve linked to just some of the pieces by several authors. The D Party blocked Jasmine…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions