Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.65%median
14%34%
Median 28.65%Middle half 26.29% – 31.08%
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TX-34 House election: Vicente Gonzalez vote percent
The odds
53.39%median
44%64%
Median 53.39%Middle half 50.91% – 56%
How the odds have moved
Median: 52.62% on Oct 20, 53.39% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 46% | 97% | 94¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 1.4K | |
| At least 48% | 95% | ▲ 1 | 90¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 286 |
| At least 50% | 83% | ▲ 1 | 79¢ | 86¢ | $1.16 | 266 |
| At least 52% | 66% | ▲ 4 | 61¢ | 71¢ | $1.41 | |
| At least 54% | 43% | ▲ 5 | 38¢ | 48¢ | $2.08 | |
| At least 56% | 25% | ▲ 7 | 20¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 | 1.2K |
| At least 58% | 9% | ▲ 3 | 4¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | |
| At least 60% | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | ||
| At least 62% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: TX- House, Vicente Gonzalez
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Exclusive — TX GOP Candidate Eric Flores: Democrat Vicente Gonzalez Pushing the ‘Woke Left Trans Agenda’Incumbent Democrat Rep. Vicente Gonzalez (D-TX) is pushing the “woke left trans agenda,” Republican Eric Flores, challenging Gonzalez in the tossup district Texas District 34, said during an appearance on Breitbart News Daily. Prior to… -
Texas GOP’s Bet on Latinos May Backfire—How Democrats Could Seal the DealOct 23, 2026 at 05:00 AM EDT Texas Republicans redrew the state's congressional map last year on the assumption that Latino voters who broke for President Donald Trump in 2024 would stay with the party. With less than two weeks until… -
Trump's House nightmare deepens as famed election guru pushes 19 more races towards DemocratsBy SAMANTHA LOREN, US POLITICAL REPORTER President Trump and his party are facing fresh warning signs ahead of the midterms as 19 more House races shift toward Democrats, with six competitive seats moving out of toss-up territory and into… -
Elections Forecaster Shifts 19 More House Races In Democrats’ FavorA major elections forecaster shifted 19 House races in the Democrats’ favor Friday, including Republican-held seats. The nonpartisan Cook Political Report shifted some races from “Lean Republican” to a “Toss Up” and others from “Solid… -
Exclusive — TX GOP Candidate Eric Flores: I Saw the Border Crisis Firsthand in Texas as a SoldierEric Flores, a Republican vying to unseat incumbent Democrat Rep. Vicente Gonzalez (D-TX) in Texas’s 34th Congressional District, said he witnessed the realities of the border crisis firsthand in Texas during his time as a solider on… - Women Speak Out PAC Reports $799,000 in Outside Spending This CycleFox News reported on Oct. 8 that the committee is the super PAC of Susan B. Anthony Pro-Life America. The committee spent nearly ten times as much opposing Democrats ($725,000) as it spent supporting Republicans ($74,000). The committee's…
- Voters head to the polls in four-way race for Texas's 34th Congressional District(KRGV) — Voting has begun in Texas's 34th Congressional District, where four candidates are on the ballot. Channel 5 News is introducing the candidates in alphabetical order by last name. The issues they talked about include the cost of…
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Midterms: In which districts will the Hispanic vote be most decisive?In November, 39 million Latino voters, 5 million more than in the 2022 midterms, are expected to go to the polls, accounting for 16% of the total, up 1 percentage point from two years ago. Published October 21, 2026, 7:17 AM ET… - Fundraising Update: Representative Vicente Gonzalez just disclosed $1.1M of new fundraisingRepresentative Vicente Gonzalez just disclosed $1.1M of fundraising in a Q3 FEC disclosure filed on October 15th, 2026. This is the 108th most from all Q3 reports we have seen from politicians so far this year. 64.7% came from individual…
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Evening Shade-Resistance Rising-Monday, October 19th, 2026WELCOME TO THE EVENING SHADE, A SANCTUARY OF SANITY AFTER A LONG HARD DAY OF FIGHTING FASCISM. A Texas Republican Wants a Billboard Featuring Trump’s Endorsement to Come Down A billboard in Brownsville, Texas, featuring Republican… -
A Texas Republican Wants a Billboard Featuring Trump’s Endorsement to Come DownA lawyer for Eric Flores, who is running in a competitive House district, sent a cease and desist over a billboard it argues could “cause voter confusion.” October 16, 2026 12:56 p.m. A billboard in Brownsville, Texas, featuring Republican… -
Irked Republican sics lawyers on billboard boasting of his Trump endorsementUS Vice President JD Vance shakes hands with a man as he delivers remarks at a rally aimed at boosting local Republican candidates, including Eric Flores in Texas' 34th Congressional District, at Harlingen Convention Center, in Harlingen…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions