Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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TX-15 House election: Monica De La Cruz vote percent
The odds
46.48%median
40%60%
Median 46.48%Middle half 44.65% – 48.16%
How the odds have moved
Median: 46.81% on Oct 20, 46.48% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 42% | 96% | 92¢ | $1.04 | 417 | ||
| At least 44% | 84% | ▲ 1 | 79¢ | 88¢ | $1.14 | 514 |
| At least 46% | 57% | ▲ 1 | 53¢ | 62¢ | $1.61 | 357 |
| At least 48% | 27% | ▲ 1 | 22¢ | 31¢ | $3.23 | 3.0K |
| At least 50% | 8% | ▲ 1 | 4¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 2.2K |
| At least 52% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | 200 | ||
| At least 54% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| At least 56% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| At least 58% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Monica De La Cruz, TX- House
Search ›-
ICE crackdown prompts some Texas Latinos to turn away from TrumpOctober 23, 2026 / 5:00 PM EDT / CBS News McAllen, Texas — Benny Melendez, the owner of a small construction company along this stretch of the U.S.-Mexico border, says he's been forced to take drastic measures to protect his immigrant… -
‘It's the President's Fault’: The White House Blame Game Starts Early Ahead of the MidtermsTrump White House aides have started to cast about for a scapegoat to offer the president in the event of bad midterm election losses, as Republicans stare down brutal predictions in key House and Senate races, sources familiar with the… -
MAGA pollster issues 'terrifying' midterm warning to GOP: 'A lot worse than people think'A supporter of US President Donald Trump amid empty seats during a campaign rally to support Republican House of Representatives candidate Ed Gallrein and Senate candidate Andy Barr, at Truist Arena in Highland Heights, Kentucky, US… - GOP Redistricting Gains Fade Amid Trump Approval SlumpRepublicans spent more than a year redrawing dozens of U.S. House districts at Donald Trump's urging, betting the maps would lock in their narrow majority ahead of the November 2026 midterms. Instead, Trump's record-low approval rating…
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One White House operative 'walked to the gallows' as Trump seeks midterm scapegoat: reportWhite House aides are serving up a scapegoat to blame if Republicans get hammered in the midterms, and they’ve settled on the mastermind behind the GOP’s redistricting plan. Republican operatives privately say the real problem is President… - Cost of living, border policy take center stage in Texas District 15 raceHidalgo County, TX (KRGV) — Voters in Congressional District 15 are choosing between Rep. Monica De La Cruz and Democratic candidate Bobby Pulido, as thousands of ballots have already been cast. The District 15 contest is one of the races…
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Terre Haute man charged with murder in pellet gun shooting deathA Terre Haute man is facing multiple charges, including murder, after he allegedly shot another man with a pellet gun. Oct 22 (Reuters) - US President Donald Trump on Thursday signed an executive order aimed at reducing expenses for… -
Schenectady E-Bike proposal still in talks as Albany County passes its own lawDiscussions are still underway in Schenectady over a proposed e-bike and e-scooter law. Meanwhile, Albany County has already put its own regulations in place. Oct 22 (Reuters) - US President Donald Trump on Thursday signed an executive… -
City of Buffalo releases 2026-2027 Winter Snow PlanThe City of Buffalo has released its 2026-2027 Winter Snow Plan, including $2.7 million for contracted snow removal, five smaller tractors and upgraded snowplow tracking. Polls show Hamilton could end a 90-year Republican winning streak in… -
Panthers defense preparing for Tampa Bay Buccaneers this SundayThe Panthers are preparing to host their NFC South division rivals, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, at Bank of America Stadium. Oct 22 (Reuters) - US President Donald Trump on Thursday signed an executive order aimed at reducing expenses for… -
Britain needs to get serious about resilienceEverything, from banking to healthcare via transportation and communication, now depends on digital systems and connectivity. This has brought vast benefits, but as events this week have shown, it has also left us exposed. The physical… -
Trump asked about Vance 2028 support | CNN PoliticsA day after Vice President JD Vance said he believed Donald Trump would endorse him if he ran in 2028, the president said the two haven't discussed it. President Trump said he wants Ukrainian President Zelensky to make a deal to end the…
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10.75%median
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13.88%median
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Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
45.75%median
30%65%
Median 45.75%Middle half 42.74% – 48.67%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions