Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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TX-15 House election: Bobby Pulido vote percent
The odds
51.67%median
40%60%
Median 51.67%Middle half 50% – 53.51%
How the odds have moved
Median: 56.4% on Oct 20, 51.67% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 42% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 44% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 46% | 97% | ▼ 1 | 94¢ | $1.03 | 218 | |
| At least 48% | 94% | ▼ 2 | 89¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 770 |
| At least 50% | 75% | ▼ 5 | 70¢ | 80¢ | $1.25 | 1.1K |
| At least 52% | 45% | ▼ 12 | 40¢ | 50¢ | $2.00 | 2.6K |
| At least 54% | 19% | ▼ 12 | 14¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | 2.7K |
| At least 56% | 7% | ▼ 3 | 5¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 480 |
| At least 58% | 3% | ▼ 1 | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: TX- House, Bobby Pulido
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Tejano star Bobby Pulido trades the stage for a shot at Congress | CNN PoliticsTexas Democratic Congressional nominee Bobby Pulido is gaining momentum in a tight race against incumbent Republican Rep. Monica De La Cruz. After De La Cruz mocked Pulido as a quinceañera singer, the Tejano star began performing for free… -
Poll: Tejano star Bobby Pulido poised to flip South Texas seat in battle for border votersTejano music star and Texas’ 15th congressional district candidate Bobby Pulido performs at his final concert Oct. 17 in Edinburg, Texas. South Texas voters who embraced President Donald Trump two years ago have largely soured on the… -
Poll: Bobby Pulido Appears Poised to Flip the 15th Congressional DistrictThe South Texas-based district went for Trump by 18 points in 2024. by Alfredo Corchado and Dudley Althaus October 21, 2026, 9:23 AM, CDT Alfredo Corchado is executive editor of Puente News Collaborative. He’s also a former Mexico/Border… - New poll shows Tejano star Bobby Pulido is poised to flip TX-15 in battle for border votersA new poll indicates voters in South Texas who supported Donald Trump in 2024 are turning away from the president and Republican Congresswoman Monica De La Cruz seeking re-election in the border region. By Alfredo Corchado & Dudley…
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Where Democrats think Republican gerrymandering will backfireHouse Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries is heading to Texas this weekend as Democrats become increasingly confident that GOP-led gerrymandering could backfire in both the Lone Star State and in Florida. Jeffries will campaign with Johnny… -
ICE crackdown prompts some Texas Latinos to turn away from TrumpOctober 23, 2026 / 5:00 PM EDT / CBS News McAllen, Texas — Benny Melendez, the owner of a small construction company along this stretch of the U.S.-Mexico border, says he's been forced to take drastic measures to protect his immigrant… -
Many Latinos are over Trump. The shift is especially striking in TexasEDINBURG, Texas — Clad in pressed jeans and cowboy hats, dozens of riders on horseback and drivers in pickups kicked up dust along a dirt road in Edinburg, near the southern tip of Texas. They were there for a cabalgata, a traditional… - GOP Redistricting Gains Fade Amid Trump Approval SlumpRepublicans spent more than a year redrawing dozens of U.S. House districts at Donald Trump's urging, betting the maps would lock in their narrow majority ahead of the November 2026 midterms. Instead, Trump's record-low approval rating…
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Congressional candidate Bobby Pulido commits to supporting Valley Interfaith's agendaMERCEDES, Texas - Valley Interfaith has been conducting neighborhood walks, house meetings, and civic academies to understand the pressures facing families across the Rio Grande Valley. Valley Interfaith member Jose Alejandro broke down in… -
Jones calls on DHS, DOD to halt immigration action against military familiesSan Antonio Mayor Gina Ortiz Jones wrote to federal agencies seeking protections for qualified military family members following another instance of immigration officials targeting a Texas family. In an effort to protect military readiness… -
Trump asked about Vance 2028 support | CNN PoliticsA day after Vice President JD Vance said he believed Donald Trump would endorse him if he ran in 2028, the president said the two haven't discussed it. President Trump said he wants Ukrainian President Zelensky to make a deal to end the…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions