Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
27.83%median
14%34%
Median 27.83%Middle half 25.59% – 30.33%
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PA-10 House election: Janelle Stelson vote percent
The odds
53%median
42%62%
Median 53%Middle half 50.49% – 55.51%
How the odds have moved
Median: 52.45% on Oct 19, 53% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 44% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 46% | 97% | 93¢ | $1.04 | |||
| At least 48% | 94% | ▲ 1 | 89¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | |
| At least 50% | 80% | ▲ 1 | 77¢ | 82¢ | $1.22 | 198 |
| At least 52% | 61% | ▲ 2 | 57¢ | 65¢ | $1.54 | 394 |
| At least 54% | 39% | ▲ 1 | 35¢ | 43¢ | $2.33 | 200 |
| At least 56% | 21% | ▼ 2 | 16¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | |
| At least 58% | 8% | ▼ 2 | 3¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | |
| At least 60% | 4% | ▲ 1 | 7¢ | $14.29 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: PA- House, Janelle Stelson
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Republican Scott Perry in dead heat with Democrat Janelle Stelson in central Pa. race that could decide House controlThere is no clear frontrunner despite deep dissatisfaction with President Donald Trump among voters in the district, according to a new poll from The Inquirer, New York Times and Siena University. U.S. Rep. Scott Perry and his Democratic… -
Janelle Stelson, Scott Perry spar over provocative ad in PA's 10th District raceResidents in the Harrisburg region have undoubtedly seen the campaign ad run by Republican Congressman Scott Perry's campaign for the 10th District. The ad accuses his challenger, Democrat Janelle Stelson, of exposing herself to a child… - Rep. Scott Perry airs attack ad with unproven nudity claim against Janelle StelsonIn a closely-watched Harrisburg-area Congressional race that is increasingly contentious, one of the candidates is now slinging an unsubstantiated allegation of public nudity at his opponent. Republican Congressman Scott Perry has begun…
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Pa. House passes bill to limit automatic license plate readersCBS News Philadelphia is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KYW-TV and channel 3, CBS News Philadelphia offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Pa. House… - A new attack from Rep. Scott Perry makes a sensational claim about Democratic challenger Janelle Stelson. She may sue.Perry campaign's attack ad is based on a claim from the Democratic candidate's neighbor, which Stelson says are false. A new attack ad from Republican U.S. Rep. Scott Perry’s campaign accuses his Democratic challenger, Janelle Stelson, of…
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Democrat Janelle Stelson outpacing GOP Rep. Scott Perry in key Pennsylvania House raceDemocratic nominee Janelle Stelson joins Morning Joe to discuss her campaign for Pennsylvania’s 10th Congressional District against Republican Rep. Scott Perry. Stelson — a former journalist — faced off against Perry in 2024, narrowly… -
Rep. Scott Perry Ad Highlights Police Complaint Alleging Democrat Janelle Stelson Exposed Herself to a Child“Disgraced TV reporter Janelle Stelson has been exposed, literally,” the advertisement’s narrator says. “First Stelson got caught making a degrading racial slur live on TV. Stelson got exposed using illegals as campaign workers. One… -
Scott Perry ad targeting Janelle Stelson makes unsubstantiated allegations of public nudityIndependent reporting on state government that impacts Pennsylvania communities — free to read and republish Support the Capital-Star today Democrat Janelle Stelson, left, will challenge incumbent GOP Rep. Scott Perry, right, in the race… -
Unproven nudity claim against Janelle Stelson sure is making this midterm election pretty uglyA new campaign advertisement from Republican U.S. Representative Scott Perry accuses Democratic challenger Janelle Stelson of public nudity, escalating the political battle in Pennsylvania’s closely contested 10th Congressional District… -
"All Sides Now:" Pa. House District 143The candidates running in the 2026 Pa. House District 143 are, from left, Democrat Tim Hayes, independent Christopher Gambino and Republican Shelby Labs. It's a right-leaning district, according to the most recent voter registration data… -
Scott Perry is now levying unsubstantiated claims of public nudity against Janelle StelsonA new campaign ad from Republican US Rep. Scott Perry makes an uncorroborated accusation that police investigated his opponent for “exposing herself totally naked to a neighborhood child.” A new attack ad from Republican US Rep. Scott… -
'Brave' Bob Brooks Bravely Runs Away From PA House DebateI am a big fan of the British comedy group Monty Python. Their second-best movie (after "Monty Python’s Life of Brian") is "Monty Python and the Holy Grail." This is a comedy about the legendary King Arthur of Britain and his knights of…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions